Preprints
https://doi.org/10.22541/au.176055865.50800695/v2
https://doi.org/10.22541/au.176055865.50800695/v2
06 Mar 2026
 | 06 Mar 2026

Multi-sectorial impacts of Mediterranean snow droughts on mountain socio-ecohydrology

Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris

Abstract. Snow droughts, defined as periods with below-normal Snow Water Equivalent, have recently received substantial attention as an emerging hazard in a warming world, but their impacts are still poorly understood. Here, we shed light on these impacts across the socio-ecohydrologic spectrum, by leveraging heterogeneous data sources from 38 catchments in Italy: 13 years of snow and runoff data, remote-sensing and in-situ measurements of Gross Primary Production, an inventory of emergency water restrictions obtained via a web-scraping tool and direct consultation of national to local regulations, and a survey among 113 mountain huts. We found that the majority of snow droughts in our sample were warm-dry (53 %), that is, the combination of higher-than-usual temperatures and low precipitation, followed by warm-wet snow droughts (22 %). These events led to up to –50 % duration of the snow season at all elevations, up to ∼100 % more melt-out events compared to non-snow-drought years, approximately -50 % summer runoff, and a decline in runoff ratio (-13 %). Notably, growing-season Gross Primary Production of vegetation after a snow drought was up to 10 % higher than after a non-snow-drought winter, particularly above 1500 m, which ground-based data suggest was due to an earlier meltout of snow leading to an earlier-than-usual greening date. By focusing on the recent 2022 and 2023 snow droughts, we also found that water-supply restrictions were issued at all elevations, but particularly across foothills rather than floodplain regions. Meanwhile, about 70 % of hut managers at elevations above 2000 m reported water-supply impacts, with 28 % of them even reporting earlier closing dates. Overall, snow droughts emerge as a deeply multi-sectorial and multi-elevation risk, interconnecting the cryosphere with hydrology, ecology, and society.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

14 Sep 2026
Impacts of Mediterranean snow droughts on mountain socio-ecohydrology
Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 5769–5790, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5769-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5769-2026, 2026
Short summary
Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1055', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Apr 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Francesco Avanzi, 20 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1055', Alexander Gottlieb, 17 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Francesco Avanzi, 20 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (29 May 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
AR by Francesco Avanzi on behalf of the Authors (24 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Jul 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (30 Jul 2026)
RR by Alexander Gottlieb (25 Aug 2026)
ED: Publish as is (28 Aug 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
AR by Francesco Avanzi on behalf of the Authors (31 Aug 2026)  Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1055', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Apr 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Francesco Avanzi, 20 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1055', Alexander Gottlieb, 17 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Francesco Avanzi, 20 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (29 May 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
AR by Francesco Avanzi on behalf of the Authors (24 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (28 Jul 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (30 Jul 2026)
RR by Alexander Gottlieb (25 Aug 2026)
ED: Publish as is (28 Aug 2026) by Manuela Irene Brunner
AR by Francesco Avanzi on behalf of the Authors (31 Aug 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

14 Sep 2026
Impacts of Mediterranean snow droughts on mountain socio-ecohydrology
Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 5769–5790, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5769-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5769-2026, 2026
Short summary
Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris
Francesco Avanzi, Stefano Terzi, Mariapina Castelli, Francesca Munerol, Margherita Andreaggi, Marta Galvagno, Andrea Galletti, Tessa Maurer, Christian Massari, Grace Carlson, Manuela Girotto, Giacomo Bertoldi, Edoardo Cremonese, Simone Gabellani, Umberto Morra di Cella, Marco Altamura, Lauro Rossi, and Luca Ferraris

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Short summary
Snow droughts are periods with below-average snow accumulation and are becoming more frequent in a warming climate, yet their ecosystem and societal impacts remain poorly known. Using 13 years of data from 38 Italian catchments, we show that snow droughts reduced snow duration by ~50 %, doubled winter melt-out events, and cut summer runoff by ~50 %. Photosynthesis increased by up to 10 % due to earlier meltout. These events also caused widespread water-supply reductions, especially in foothills.
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