the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Enhancing GOSAT methane observations over the high latitudes using a multi-objective genetic algorithm optimisation approach
Abstract. The Greenhouse Observing Satellite (GOSAT) is the world's first satellite mission dedicated for greenhouse gas monitoring and the University of Leicester has generated a well-validated, global data set of methane column dry-air mole fraction (XCH4) which has been extensively used for regional and global methane emission attribution and trend analyses. However, satellite remote sensing for greenhouse gases is inherently challenging over high latitudes, due to severe cloud cover, high solar zenith angles and unfavourable surface conditions resulting in a major deficit of high-latitude winter data. A significant portion of otherwise successful retrievals are lost during the post-retrieval quality filtering process because the standard quality filtering, optimised for global data throughput, disproportionately affects, is overly restrictive for the high latitudes. Relaxing quality filters naturally leads to degradation in data quality due to increased contamination from clouds, aerosols and dark surfaces, and optimising quality filters is essential to obtain the best balance between data quality and data quantity. This study successfully improves the high-latitude throughput of the University of Leicester GOSAT Proxy XCH4 dataset using a multi-objective genetic algorithm (GA) approach by optimising the post-retrieval filtering process, with the least impact on the data quality in comparison with the ground-based observations from Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) stations. We have found that the GA-optimised quality filtering can significantly increase the number of valid GOSAT methane observations over high latitudes by up to 20 % with a compromise of less than 1 ppb in single measurement precision. The optimisation enhances data throughput across the high-latitudes and preserves the statistical distribution and climatology of the original dataset. The optimisation process more than doubled the data in December, significantly contributing to mitigating the winter data-deficit in the high latitudes. This genetic algorithm optimisation approach holds potential for wider applicability including optimising the observation throughput for future satellite missions like CO2M, MicroCarb and GOSAT-GW.
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Status: open (until 31 Aug 2026)
- RC1: 'Review: Comment on egusphere-2026-1029', Anonymous Referee #1, 05 May 2026 reply
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1029', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Aug 2026
reply
This manuscript presents a multi-objective optimization trained to increase GOSAT sounding availability in the sparsely observed regions of the high latitudes with minimal increase in error when compared to TCCON. Overall, the paper is well written, and the approach will have great impact for further science from the GOSAT mission, therefore the manuscript is appropriate for AMT and nearly ready for publication. However, a few questions should be addressed:
1. The authors provide good setup in section 3 for why the problem should be treated with mutli-objective heuristic approach but do not give reason for selecting a genetic algorithm over other multi-objective optimization approaches e.g., Bayesian methods like Hypervolume Improvement which can find optimal regions much faster. Additionally it would be nice to see a brief comparison/discussion to the Genetic Algorithm used for OCO-2 and GOSAT XCO2 filtering presented in Mandrake et al. 2009 (https://amt.copernicus.org/articles/6/2851/2013/) and a hybrid heuristic and machine learning approach presented in Keely et al. 2025 that also aimed to increase sounding availability in the high latitudes and cloud effected regions (https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025EA004329).- The choice to use the raw column averaged gas as a filtering variable could allow for the filter to overfit or potentially remove good data given the binary selection of threshold. In addition to the requested discussion above it would be useful to see further validation of the filter variable selection and why other retrieved surface or atmospheric state parameters as is described in O’Dell et al. 2018 (https://amt.copernicus.org/articles/11/6539/2018/).
- Relying on TCCON as the sole truth proxy for training the GA leaves open the potential for circularity. Keely et al. 2025 address this by evaluating on additional truth proxies such a XGas fields from flux inversion models and use an epistemic uncertainty metric derived from the ML models to assess when to trust data that is far away from TCCON sites in state space. Could such a distance metric be derived using the GA approach given that TCCON sites are sparse in the high latitudes? Discussion of this would be of great use to the community for the strengths and tradeoffs between approaches (e.g., as the authors already mention the lack of need to use large, labelled training data for GA methods).
Citations:
Mandrake, L., Frankenberg, C., O'Dell, C. W., Osterman, G., Wennberg, P., and Wunch, D.: Semi-autonomous sounding selection for OCO-2, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 6, 2851–2864, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-6-2851-2013, 2013.Keely, W., Mauceri, S., Nelson, R., Laughner, J., O’Dell, C. W., Massie, S., ... & Payne, V. (2025). Uncertainty‐aware machine learning bias correction and filtering for OCO‐2. 2. Earth and Space Science, 12(11), e2025EA004329.
O'Dell, C. W., Eldering, A., Wennberg, P. O., Crisp, D., Gunson, M. R., Fisher, B., Frankenberg, C., Kiel, M., Lindqvist, H., Mandrake, L., Merrelli, A., Natraj, V., Nelson, R. R., Osterman, G. B., Payne, V. H., Taylor, T. E., Wunch, D., Drouin, B. J., Oyafuso, F., Chang, A., McDuffie, J., Smyth, M., Baker, D. F., Basu, S., Chevallier, F., Crowell, S. M. R., Feng, L., Palmer, P. I., Dubey, M., García, O. E., Griffith, D. W. T., Hase, F., Iraci, L. T., Kivi, R., Morino, I., Notholt, J., Ohyama, H., Petri, C., Roehl, C. M., Sha, M. K., Strong, K., Sussmann, R., Te, Y., Uchino, O., and Velazco, V. A.: Improved retrievals of carbon dioxide from Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 with the version 8 ACOS algorithm, Atmos. Meas. Tech., 11, 6539–6576, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-11-6539-2018, 2018.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1029-RC2
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