Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6415
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6415
04 Jan 2026
 | 04 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Climate of the Past (CP).

Glacial-interglacial shifts in dominant climate forcing over the last 33 ka in the northern South China Sea

Xueqin Zhao, Shengjie Ye, Jiahui Yao, Michael E. Meadows, Chengyu Weng, Yasong Wang, Mingxing Zhang, and Yunping Xu

Abstract. The northern South China Sea is a critical region for understanding East Asian Monsoon dynamics. However, integrated, multi-proxy records elucidating long-term climatic and vegetation changes in this region remain fragmented, with a notable scarcity of coherent land-ocean interaction data during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). This gap has impeded progress in elucidating the mechanisms underpinning monsoon variability and in rigorously evaluating the performance of palaeoclimate models. To address this, we conducted a multi-proxy analysis combining palynological, organic- and inorganic-geochemical methods on a marine sediment core from the northern South China Sea to reconstruct environmental and oceanic dynamics at millennial-scale resolution that spans the last 33 ka. Our results reveal a clear contrast between glacial and interglacial conditions and drivers: the glacial period was characterized by higher sedimentation rates, elevated marine primary productivity, cooler climate, lower humidity and herb-dominated vegetation associated with enhanced fire activity in the adjacent terrestrial ecosystems. Deglaciation was characterized by pronounced warming and reduced productivity, together with increased moisture availability, a shift toward pine-dominated vegetation, minimal fire activity, and reduced fluvial input as the coastline retreated. The overall findings highlight a fundamental transition in climatic controls, from a regime dominated by sea level forcing during the glacial period to one increasingly governed by tropical ocean-atmosphere interactions initiated by early ocean warming during the interglacial.

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Xueqin Zhao, Shengjie Ye, Jiahui Yao, Michael E. Meadows, Chengyu Weng, Yasong Wang, Mingxing Zhang, and Yunping Xu

Status: open (until 01 Mar 2026)

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Xueqin Zhao, Shengjie Ye, Jiahui Yao, Michael E. Meadows, Chengyu Weng, Yasong Wang, Mingxing Zhang, and Yunping Xu
Xueqin Zhao, Shengjie Ye, Jiahui Yao, Michael E. Meadows, Chengyu Weng, Yasong Wang, Mingxing Zhang, and Yunping Xu

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Short summary
What can the history of the South China Sea teach us about the great seasonal rains in East Asia? By studying a sediment core, we discovered how the region's climate transformed after the last ice age. The pivotal change was not started on land, but in the tropical ocean. Its early warming altered weather patterns, leading to forest expansion and fewer wildfires on land. This finding reveals that a warming tropical ocean can be a powerful trigger for major global climate shifts.
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