Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6413
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6413
06 Jan 2026
 | 06 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Radiative Influence of Dust Aerosols on the Evolution of Tropical Storm Hermine

Alexander Garber, Zhaoxia Pu, and Anna Gannet Hallar

Abstract. This study investigates the impact of dust aerosols on the evolution of Tropical Storm Hermine (2022) using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) and observational data from the NASA Convective Processes Experiment – Cabo Verde (CPEX-CV). The objective is to evaluate how varying initial dust aerosol conditions influence storm development and to uncover the mechanisms behind these effects. Three WRF-Chem simulations were conducted with different initial aerosol concentrations: one with no aerosols, one with realistic dust concentrations, and one with intermediate aerosol levels. The simulations were compared against observational data from CPEX-CV and the best track data from the United States' National Hurricane Centre, focusing on parameters such as wind, pressure, aerosol optical depth, and radar reflectivity. The results indicate that the radiative effect of dust aerosols led to a weaker and more disorganized storm system compared to simulations without the inclusion of dust, highlighting the critical role of dustradiation interactions in modifying storm intensity. Furthermore, the study found that the ECMWF's Atmospheric Composition Reanalysis 4 (CAMS) underestimated atmospheric dust concentrations, in comparisons to observations, underlining the necessity for accurate observational data to validate aerosol-related processes and improve model predictions. These findings emphasize the complexity of dust aerosol-storm interactions and the importance of improving aerosol representations in simulations of tropical cyclones.

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Alexander Garber, Zhaoxia Pu, and Anna Gannet Hallar

Status: open (until 24 Feb 2026)

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Alexander Garber, Zhaoxia Pu, and Anna Gannet Hallar
Alexander Garber, Zhaoxia Pu, and Anna Gannet Hallar

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Short summary
This study examines how Saharan dust aerosols influenced the evolution of Tropical Storm Hermine (2022) using WRF-Chem simulations and NASA CPEX-CV observations. Results show that dust radiative effects weakened and disrupted storm organization, while reanalysis data underestimated dust concentrations. The findings highlight the importance of accurately representing aerosols to improve tropical cyclone simulations and hazard prediction.
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