Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6241
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6241
05 Feb 2026
 | 05 Feb 2026

Characterising runoff processes for Australia: Insights from a parsimonious rainfall-runoff event identification method

Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko

Abstract. Rainfall-runoff events are widely used in hydrological applications, from flood estimation and flood forecasting, to understanding catchment responses in a climate/anthropogenic affected world. The majority of methods used to identify rainfall-runoff events are statistical in nature, relying on subjective, user-defined ‘rules’ (i.e., parameters) that define a rainfall-runoff event. Since no ground-truth information is available to confirm the exact beginning and end of rainfall-runoff events, there is noticeable inconsistency (i.e. uncertainty) within the results. In this study, we propose the Robust Variance-based Event Identification Method (RVEIM), a new parsimonious rainfall-runoff event identification method which uses fewer parameters and better mimics the natural runoff generation process; decreasing the uncertainty in rainfall-runoff event identification. RVEIM detects runoff events by focusing on changes of streamflow variance and pairs to the corresponding rainfall event(s) simultaneously. RVEIM was compared to a benchmarking event identification method in 8 representative catchments in Australia. A sensitivity analysis was performed using a comprehensive set of plausible event identification parameter values for both methods. Results revealed that the variation of rainfall-runoff events characteristics – including annual number, length of runoff events, and the mean volume of runoff events – showed limited uncertainty from the RVEIM (standard deviation within ±15 % of the mean across 8 representative Australian catchments). This demonstrates robustness of RVEIM, while the benchmarking method exhibited considerably greater uncertainty in the event characteristics, with coefficients of variation exceeding 23 % and more than an order of magnitude difference across catchments. Using RVEIM, we present the first comprehensive summary of rainfall-runoff event characteristics across 467 Australian catchments. The distribution of event-scale runoff coefficients for individual catchments shows a strong climate gradient. Such systematic shifts in the distribution of runoff coefficient across climate regions indicate that climate variables play an important role in catchment response and point to potential contrasts in dominating runoff generation mechanisms across climate zones.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

23 Sep 2026
Characterising runoff processes for Australia: insights from a parsimonious rainfall-runoff event identification method
Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 5947–5970, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5947-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5947-2026, 2026
Short summary
Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'On the validation and transferability of RVEIM', Yiwen Mei, 24 Feb 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026
  • CC2: 'On the validation and transferability of RVEIM', Yiwen Mei, 24 Feb 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6241', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6241', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (05 Jul 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie on behalf of the Authors (31 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Aug 2026) by Thom Bogaard
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (21 Aug 2026)
ED: Publish as is (21 Aug 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie on behalf of the Authors (28 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'On the validation and transferability of RVEIM', Yiwen Mei, 24 Feb 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026
  • CC2: 'On the validation and transferability of RVEIM', Yiwen Mei, 24 Feb 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6241', Anonymous Referee #1, 27 Feb 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6241', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Apr 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, 04 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Submit a revised manuscript (05 Jul 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie on behalf of the Authors (31 Jul 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Aug 2026) by Thom Bogaard
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (21 Aug 2026)
ED: Publish as is (21 Aug 2026) by Thom Bogaard
AR by Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie on behalf of the Authors (28 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

23 Sep 2026
Characterising runoff processes for Australia: insights from a parsimonious rainfall-runoff event identification method
Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 5947–5970, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5947-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-5947-2026, 2026
Short summary
Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko
Mohammad Masoud Mohammadpour Khoie, Danlu Guo, and Conrad Wasko

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Short summary
We developed a new method to identify rainfall-runoff events which is less uncertain and more reliable. The Robust Variance-based Event Identification Method (RVEIM) uses fewer parameters and better represents natural runoff processes. RVEIM  is easily transferable across various climates and enhances hydrologic modeling, flood forecasting, and disaster resilience.
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