the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Long-term trends in reconstructed atmospheric aerosol load based on large-scale sunshine duration records since 1900
Abstract. This study uses multiple observational networks, utilizing sunshine duration as a proxy for broadband AOD (BAOD) from 2700 sites across the world, to reconstruct BAOD trends since the late 19th century. The findings include a general trend toward cleaner atmospheres at most European sites during both the 1900–1925 and 1926–1959 periods, amounting to regional trends of –0.014 decade–1 and –0.004 decade–1, respectively. Aerosol concentrations are found to increase at only a few stations, likely because of local industrialization. Conversely, during the 1960–1985 period, the analysis, underscores the role of anthropogenic aerosols in the dimming observed across Europe (0.004 decade–1), as well as the modulating relevance of volcanic aerosols. A continuous increase in BAOD is also observed over Southeast Brazil during 1960–1985, with a noticeable higher rate of 0.015 decade–1, which is approximately four times as large as that found in Europe. At the same time, Japan experienced a notable decrease in BAOD with a rate of –0.015 decade–1, owing to stringent environmental regulations implemented between 1960 and 1985. Meanwhile, Oceania exhibited a modest negative trend of –0.004 decade–1 during that period. During the 1986–2015 period, commonly referred to as “brightening phase”, a general decline of annual BAOD is observed in each studied region: higher rate of decreasing aerosol load in Southeast Brazil, Japan, and Europe by –0.010 decade–1, –0.015 decade–1, and –0.013 decade–1, respectively, compared to much the lower rate of –0.003 decade–1 over Oceania.
Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics. The authors have no other competing interests to declare.
Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.- Preprint
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Status: open (until 18 Mar 2026)
- RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5950', Anonymous Referee #2, 01 Mar 2026 reply
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5950', Anonymous Referee #3, 02 Mar 2026
reply
General comments
Overall, the paper is of good quality and well written. It addresses an interesting topic with a clear structure and relevant analysis.
We appreciate the hypothesis connecting the retrieved BAOD trends with natural and socio-economic factors.
The findings are interesting, particularly the contrasting BAOD decrease in Japan and the early brightening signal in Europe.
However, some parts of the methodology could be improved for better readability and clarity:
- The methodology sections are a little difficult to follow in places.
- In Section 3.1, especially the second paragraph discussing the six-year analysis (?) and the reduced time series, the explanation is not fully clear. It is appreciated that Section 3.2 illustrates the homogeneity tests. However, “selecting a homogeneous time series” does not sufficiently explain how the time series is actually reduced in cases of detected inhomogeneity.
- In Section 3.3, without prior knowledge of the method or reference to external resources cited in the text, it is not straightforward to grasp the basic principle of how sunshine duration (SD) measurements translate into aerosol optical depth (AOD)—which is the core aim of the paragraph titled “estimating daily AOD from SD measurements.” For example, it would be helpful to clarify that estimations are performed at sunrise/sunset using the heliograph burning threshold.
Specific comments
- Page 2, line 6: “Concentrations” is used for the sake of conciseness. However, aerosol concentrations cannot be derived straightforwardly from AOD series, as aerosol scattering properties do not necessarily remain constant over the analyzed time period.
- Page 7, line 27: The subsection title suggests that only observational data is used for ozone, but the paragraph describes the use of model data.
- Page 9, line 15: “Daily scale”? This should likely be “yearly scale,” as the analyzed time series rely on yearly averages/standard deviations.
- Section 4 (Results and discussion):
- First period: 1900–1925
- It is surprising that no impact from the Santa María eruption (1902) is apparent in the retrieved BAOD at Zagreb-Grič, whereas a significant increase is observed at other European stations.
Technical corrections
- P24l6: for ass sites over?
- P28l12: thstudied → the studied
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5950-RC2
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In this study, the authors collate sunshine duration measurements going back in some cases to the early 20th century with reanalysis data to estimate the change in aerosol optical depth at observation stations worldwide. Their results suggest that the period 1900-2015 can be divided into periods of increasing and decreasing trends in aerosol optical depths. They especially highlight the period 1900-1959, which they find associated with a decreasing trend.
The paper is well written, and the data collection efforts are very impressive. However, the method and its interpretation do not live up to the objectives of the study. I therefore recommend major revisions before publication to give a more realistic account of the insights that could be taken from the analysis, as commented below.
Main comments:
Other comments: