Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5779
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5779
16 Jan 2026
 | 16 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Combining geodetic data and summer MODIS albedo anomalies for annual glacier mass balance estimation

Mattia Callegari, Carlo Marin, Claudia Notarnicola, and Thomas Schellenberger

Abstract. Annual glacier mass balance time series are essential for understanding the impacts of climate change on glacierized regions. Satellite-based observations enable consistent and regionally comprehensive monitoring of glacier mass balance. While geodetic methods provide reliable estimates over decadal timescales, deriving accurate annual glacier mass balance estimates remains challenging. In this study, we propose a new approach that combines 20 years geodetic mass balance data with glacier-wide average summer albedo anomalies from MODIS to produce reliable annual glacier mass balance estimates for land-terminating glaciers. We generated time series from 2000 to 2024 for 2748 glaciers across three regions: the European Alps, Scandinavia, and Svalbard. Validation against 1108 available in-situ mass balance measurements yielded root mean square errors (RMSE) of 0.45, 0.79, and 0.42 m w.e. and coefficients of determination (R²) of 0.60, 0.44, and 0.35 for the European Alps, Scandinavia, and Svalbard, respectively. These results demonstrate the method’s effectiveness and its potential for application in other glacierized regions.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Mattia Callegari, Carlo Marin, Claudia Notarnicola, and Thomas Schellenberger

Status: open (until 27 Feb 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Mattia Callegari, Carlo Marin, Claudia Notarnicola, and Thomas Schellenberger
Mattia Callegari, Carlo Marin, Claudia Notarnicola, and Thomas Schellenberger
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 16 Jan 2026
Download
Short summary
We introduce a new satellite-based approach to estimate annual glacier mass balance. Using data from 2000 to 2024, we produced yearly estimates for nearly three thousand glaciers in the Alps, Scandinavia, and Svalbard. Comparison with extensive field measurements shows strong agreement, demonstrating that this method can reliably track annual glacier changes across large regions.
Share