Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5486
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5486
08 Jan 2026
 | 08 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Brief Communication: Inferring Glacier Equilibrium Line Altitudes in Central Europe with FROST

Oskar Herrmann, Veena Prasad, Anna Zöller, Alexander R. Groos, Samuel Cook, Christian Sommer, and Johannes J. Fürst

Abstract. Glaciers in Central Europe are projected to almost disappear by 2100. To improve projections, glacier models must be calibrated to match observations. Using the open-source Framework for assimilating Remote-sensing Observations for Surface mass balance Tuning (FROST), we infer equilibrium-line altitudes and surface mass balance parameters for all Alpine glaciers during 2000–2019 through an Ensemble Kalman Filter. The method combines an elevation-dependent surface mass balance model with ice dynamics from Instructed Glacier Model (IGM). Validation against in-situ mass balance and end-of-summer snowline data (correlations of 0.76 and 0.62) shows that FROST enables satellite-based regional estimates of glacier equilibrium conditions.

Competing interests: Johannes J. Fürst is a member of the editorial board of TC.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Oskar Herrmann, Veena Prasad, Anna Zöller, Alexander R. Groos, Samuel Cook, Christian Sommer, and Johannes J. Fürst

Status: open (until 19 Feb 2026)

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Oskar Herrmann, Veena Prasad, Anna Zöller, Alexander R. Groos, Samuel Cook, Christian Sommer, and Johannes J. Fürst
Oskar Herrmann, Veena Prasad, Anna Zöller, Alexander R. Groos, Samuel Cook, Christian Sommer, and Johannes J. Fürst
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Latest update: 08 Jan 2026
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Short summary
Glaciers in the European Alps are shrinking rapidly due to climate change. We developed a new open-source method to estimate where ice is gained or lost on glacier surfaces using satellite data and computer models. Our results agree well with direct field measurements. This approach helps to better track how glaciers respond to warming and improves projections of their future evolution.
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