Preprints
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2411.18779
https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2411.18779
04 Apr 2025
 | 04 Apr 2025

Exploring the conditions conducive to convection within the Greenland Ice Sheet

Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond

Abstract. Large plume-like features within the Greenland Ice Sheet disrupt radiostratigraphy and complicate the use of isochrones in reconstructions of past ice dynamics. Here we use numerical modelling to test the hypothesis that convection is a viable mechanism for the formation of the large (>1/3 ice thickness) englacial plume-like features observed in north Greenland. Greater horizontal shear and snow accumulation impede formation of convection plumes, while stable and softer ice encourages them. These results potentially explain the dearth of basal plumes in the younger and higher-accumulation southern ice sheet. Leveraging this mechanism to place bounds on ice rheology suggests that – for north Greenland – ice viscosity may be ~9–15 times lower than commonly assumed. Softer-than-assumed ice there implies significantly reduced basal sliding compared to standard models. Implementing a softer basal ice rheology in numerical models may help reduce uncertainty in projections of future ice-sheet mass balance.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

13 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Exploring the conditions conducive to convection within the Greenland Ice Sheet
Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond
The Cryosphere, 20, 1071–1086, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1071-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1071-2026, 2026
Short summary Co-editor-in-chief
Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (04 Nov 2025) by Carlos Martin
AR by Robert Law on behalf of the Authors (05 Nov 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (06 Nov 2025) by Carlos Martin
RR by Yu Zhang (24 Nov 2025)
RR by Michael Wolovick (27 Nov 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (16 Dec 2025) by Carlos Martin
AR by Robert Law on behalf of the Authors (20 Jan 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (21 Jan 2026) by Carlos Martin
AR by Robert Law on behalf of the Authors (27 Jan 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

13 Feb 2026
| Highlight paper
Exploring the conditions conducive to convection within the Greenland Ice Sheet
Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond
The Cryosphere, 20, 1071–1086, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1071-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-20-1071-2026, 2026
Short summary Co-editor-in-chief
Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond
Robert Law, Andreas Born, Philipp Voigt, Joseph A. MacGregor, and Claire Marie Guimond

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Short summary
Convection has been previously, yet contentiously, suggested for ice sheets, but never before comprehensively explored using numerical models. We use mantle dynamics code to test the hypothesis that convection gives rise to enigmatic plume-like features observed in radio-stratigraphy observations of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Our results provide very good agreement with field observations, but could imply that ice in northern Greenland is significantly softer than commonly thought.
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