Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6391
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6391
30 Dec 2025
 | 30 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Effects of convective intensity and organisation on the structure and lifecycle of deep convective clouds

William K. Jones and Philip Stier

Abstract. The structure of anvil clouds is important for their effects on the climate, as the net radiative effect depends on the balance of thick and thin areas. Recent studies have shown an important, warming feedback to climate change due to the thinning of anvils, however there is no clear mechanism behind these observed changes. Previous studies have shown a relationship between the intensity of convection and the proportion of thin anvil. In this study, we use cloud tracking approach with geostationary satellite observations to relate changes in anvil properties to convective intensity and organisation over their entire lifecycle. We find that while increasing intensity of convection is linked to an increase in the proportion of thin anvil, increasing organisation has no effect. Furthermore, these two convective processes also have contrasting effects on the lifecycle of anvil clouds. As the albedo response depends on changes in anvil structure, differences in convective regimes which prefer either organised or isolated but intense convection may lead to regional differences in anvil feedbacks. We propose that the anvil structure response is a combination of effects from the impact of convective intensity on initial anvil formation and changes in anvil dissipation rate due to effects on sedimentation rates and sublimation rates from changes in the anvil environment. Understanding each of these processes and their relative impacts is vital to understanding the future response of anvil structure to climate change.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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William K. Jones and Philip Stier

Status: open (until 10 Feb 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
William K. Jones and Philip Stier

Data sets

tobac-flow tracked DCCs in GOES ABI CONUS region 2018-2024 William Jones https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17296632

Interactive computing environment

Material for preparation of "Effects of convective intensity and organisation on the structure and lifecycle of deep convective clouds" William Jones https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17991287

William K. Jones and Philip Stier
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Latest update: 30 Dec 2025
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Short summary
Deep convective storm clouds produce large areas of high-altitude anvil clouds which are vital to balancing the Earth's energy budget due to both the reflection of sunlight and absorption of infrared radiation. Recent research has highlighted important changes in the anvil cloud thickness. In this study, we investigate how changes of convective intensity and convective organisation have different effects on anvil structure across the entire anvil cloud lifecycle using a cloud tracking approach.
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