Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6155
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6155
19 Dec 2025
 | 19 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Climatology and Interannual Variations in Arctic Winter Sea Ice Leads in the ICESat-2 Era

Mengnan Zhao, Christopher Little, Nathan Kurtz, Rachel Tilling, and Jesse Wimert

Abstract. Sea ice leads play a key role in polar air-sea heat, moisture, and gas exchanges, ocean heat and salinity variations, and ecosystem processes. However, their small-scale nature challenges efforts to assess spatiotemporal variability on a pan-Arctic basis. Here, we use six years of high spatial resolution surface type (ATL07) and freeboard (ATL10) products from Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) to characterize Arctic winter sea ice leads. Both products reveal consistent climatological spatial patterns, with lead fractions generally higher near the ice edge and coastal regions, and lower over the central abyssal plains. Lead sizes follow a power-law distribution, with the exponent increasing with size. We identify four distinct features in the temporal evolution of lead fraction over the ICESat-2 era, including a maximum in winter 20202021; increases in lead fraction are primarily driven by changes in the number of larger (>100 m) leads. Our findings show that ICESat-2 measurements provide robust regional-scale characterization of spatiotemporal variability in winter ice leads, which will in turn better inform their underlying response to, and influence on, Arctic climate.

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Mengnan Zhao, Christopher Little, Nathan Kurtz, Rachel Tilling, and Jesse Wimert

Status: open (until 30 Jan 2026)

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Mengnan Zhao, Christopher Little, Nathan Kurtz, Rachel Tilling, and Jesse Wimert
Mengnan Zhao, Christopher Little, Nathan Kurtz, Rachel Tilling, and Jesse Wimert
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Short summary
We take advantage of ICESat-2 satellite, which measures surface heights with nominal resolution of meters to tens of meters, to characterize a near pan-Arctic winter sea ice leads, meter-scale elongated cracks in ice, from 2018 to 2024. We find that lead fractions are higher near the ice edge and sizes follow a power-law distribution. Four distinct features in the temporal evolution of lead fraction are also identified, with fraction increase associated with larger leads.
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