Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5989
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5989
16 Dec 2025
 | 16 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Integrating surface-active layer-permafrost hydrological processes: A systematic review and research framework

Guangxi Ding, Jia Qin, Shiqiang Zhang, Bingfeng Yang, Junhao Cui, Feiteng Wang, and Jianfeng Yang

Abstract. Climate warming has accelerated permafrost degradation, leading to significant challenges in water circulation and transformation. Since the early 21st century, especially during the last ten years, permafrost hydrology has garnered substantial attention, yielding a wealth of research outcomes. However, a comprehensive and systematic understanding of the permafrost hydrology remains limited. This study synthesised the current knowledge through an extensive literature review and systematic analysis, establishing a foundational framework for permafrost hydrology. The framework integrated three critical dimensions: surface hydrological processes, hydrological functions of the active layer, and the hydrological effects of permafrost changes. Subsequently, the current state, trends, and challenges in permafrost hydrology research were summarised, and a holistic overview was provided. Regarding surface hydrological processes in permafrost regions, this study examined the impacts of freeze-thaw cycles on surface runoff from multiple perspectives, including the influence of active layer thawing, slope hydrological processes, river channel dynamics, large-scale permafrost hydrology, and the hydrological consequences of thermokarst formation. For hydrological processes within the active layer, the study identified the hydrological role of the active layer, key factors influencing its hydrological behaviour, and the interactions between suprapermafrost water and soil water. Concerning the hydrological impacts of permafrost thaw, this study investigated the transformation dynamics between surface and groundwater in permafrost regions by analysing the effects of climate change through increased baseflow, groundwater recharge, and subsurface runoff. Finally, this study outlined future research directions, emphasising three key areas: the application of novel observational methods, integrated surface-subsurface investigations, and the ecological and environmental impacts of permafrost hydrological changes.

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Guangxi Ding, Jia Qin, Shiqiang Zhang, Bingfeng Yang, Junhao Cui, Feiteng Wang, and Jianfeng Yang

Status: open (until 27 Jan 2026)

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Guangxi Ding, Jia Qin, Shiqiang Zhang, Bingfeng Yang, Junhao Cui, Feiteng Wang, and Jianfeng Yang
Guangxi Ding, Jia Qin, Shiqiang Zhang, Bingfeng Yang, Junhao Cui, Feiteng Wang, and Jianfeng Yang
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Short summary
As climate warming accelerates permafrost thaw, significant yet poorly understood shifts are occurring in water cycles across cold regions. This study synthesizes current knowledge through a comprehensive review, establishing an integrated framework that connects surface water, the active layer, and permafrost. We summarize how thawing affects runoff, groundwater, and ecosystems, and highlight key uncertainties. Our findings could enhance understanding of the permafrost hydrology.
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