Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5922
10 Dec 2025
 | 10 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Revealing the structure of precipitation extremes: a spatio-temporal wavelet approach

Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs

Abstract. The impact of a heavy precipitation event is determined not only by the total amount of precipitation, but also by its spatial and temporal distribution. This study introduces a framework to quantify the key spatio-temporal properties of precipitation events - namely their characteristic time, length and speed - using radar-based observations. We employ a spectral filtering approach based on wavelet decomposition, which allows the selective extraction of precipitation signals at distinct temporal and spatial scales.

Focusing on Germany, we analyze the 100 most extreme two-day summer precipitation events using the high-resolution RadKlim dataset provided by the German Weather Service. We evaluate the physical plausibility of the derived characteristics and investigate their relationships with large-scale atmospheric dynamics. Our results reveal systematic patterns in the spatio-temporal organization of precipitation extremes. The framework presented here provides a robust tool for understanding extreme precipitation and offers potential for improved risk assessment and future climate studies.

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Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs

Status: open (until 21 Jan 2026)

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Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs

Data sets

Radarklimatologie aus angeeichten Niederschlagsstundensummen Version 2017.002 Tanja Winterrath et al. https://doi.org/10.5676/DWD/RADKLIM_RW_V2017.002

ERA5 hourly data on single levels from 1940 to present H. Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.adbb2d47

Model code and software

Dual-Tree Complex Wavelet Transform library for Python Rich Wareham et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.9862

Svenja Szemkus, Sebastian Buschow, and Petra Friederichs
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Short summary
The impact of heavy rainfall is determined not only by the total amount of precipitation, but also by its spatial and temporal characteristics. This study presents a statistical framework to capture these characteristics - such as duration, length and speed - using radar-based observations. The results reveal systematic patterns in the spatio-temporal organization of extreme precipitation. The approach helps to better understand such events and to assess risks and future climate impacts.
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