Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5074
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5074
15 Dec 2025
 | 15 Dec 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Modeling the Subglacial Sediment System of the Finnish Lake District Ice Lobe During Deglaciation

Alan R. A. Aitken, Adam J. Hepburn, and Antti E. K. Ojala

Abstract. The systematic connection of glacial conditions in ice models with subglacial geomorphological observations has been limited by an inability to model subglacial sediment processes. The Finnish Lake District Ice Lobe (FLDIL) presents an opportunity to apply new model approaches in a situation of relative simplicity, with a well-preserved sedimentary record of its past subglacial hydrology and ice flow. With a recent model of the FLDIL subglacial hydrology as driver, we derive a sediment system model ensemble using the Graphical Subglacial Sediment Transport model (GraphSSeT). Model scenarios analyse the impact of varying sedimentary conditions, and resolve spatial and temporal variations in basal sediment thickness, sediment flux rate, grain size and detrital provenance. Our results show the development of a supply-limited system within 10 years characterised by strong seasonal cycles of winter gains from bed erosion, spring and summer losses from the mobilisation of basal sediment and autumn gains from deposition. Modelled at-outlet grain size also varies seasonally and would yield clastic varves, if deposited in a proglacial lake. The results define a submarginal zone of basal sediment depletion extending 4060 km back from the terminus, in line with the modern-day sediment thickness.The mobilisation of an extensive blanket of sediment from this submarginal zone is proposed to form the Salpausselkä II ice marginal complex. Our model approach provides a template for the validation of subglacial hydrology models against sedimentary observables, opening a path to employ such constraints to study hard-to-observe modern and past subglacial hydrology, and ice conditions.

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Alan R. A. Aitken, Adam J. Hepburn, and Antti E. K. Ojala

Status: open (until 26 Jan 2026)

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Alan R. A. Aitken, Adam J. Hepburn, and Antti E. K. Ojala

Data sets

Supplementary material for ’Reorganisation of subglacial drainage processes during rapid melting of the Fennoscandian Ice Sheet’ A. Hepburn et al. https://zenodo.org/records/8344208

Geological and Geomorphological data from GTK Finland GTK Finland https://hakku.gtk.fi/en

Model code and software

GraphSSeT A. Aitken et al. https://github.com/al8ken/GraphSSeT

Alan R. A. Aitken, Adam J. Hepburn, and Antti E. K. Ojala
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Latest update: 15 Dec 2025
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Short summary
Understanding past ice sheet behaviours is key to predicting future ice sheets in a warming climate, but meshing geological observations with ice sheet models is challenging. This manuscript models the sedimentary system of the Finnish Lake District Ice Lobe during its retreat about 12,000 years ago, when extensive water flow developed under the ice, and connects models with observations. The approach opens a path to improve knowledge of previously glaciated regions and systems under ice today.
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