the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions
Abstract. Compound hot and dry events cause damage to ecosystems and society. While these events have been widely studied individually, their co-ocurrence and the associated large-scale atmospheric drivers remain less understood. Here, we use reanalysis products and observational data to identify compound hot and dry events in the historical period from 1960 to 2020. We analyze the large-scale circulation patterns associated with compound occurrence of hot and dry events when they affect large portions of three breadbasket regions in the Northern Hemisphere, namely North America, Europe and the Mediterranean and eastern Asia. We find that compound hot and dry events recur throughout the historical period and are consistently linked to Rossby wave patterns and mid-tropospheric anticyclonic ridging, which trigger land-atmosphere feedbacks resulting in the reinforcement of the events. Our study highlights that the spatial extent of compound hot and dry events offers a metric for assessing regional impacts.
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Status: open (until 27 Feb 2026)
- CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5073', Yongli He, 08 Jan 2026 reply
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- 1
1. Clarification on Figure 5a I have a question regarding the "High FA minus Low FA" methodology mentioned in the Figure 5 caption. Since the definitions yield different sample sizes (19 vs. 92 events), does a direct subtraction of the "Number of COHDEs" create an unfair comparison? It would be helpful to know if you normalized these counts to account for the unequal sample sizes.
2. Rossby Wave Train vs. Localized Events In Figure 5g, the Rossby wave train is clearly circumglobal. I am curious why the compound events in Figure 5a appear only in North America, while the other ridges in the wave train do not seem to generate corresponding COHDEs elsewhere. Is there a specific physical mechanism dampening the response in other regions, or is this primarily due to the composite being triggered specifically by North American events?
3. Minor Correction I noticed a potential typo in Line 158. The text cites "(Fig. 1)," but based on the context, it seems it should refer to Figure 5a.