Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4761
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4761
10 Nov 2025
 | 10 Nov 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Earth System Dynamics (ESD).

Join the dots on planetary boundary interactions

Dieter Gerten, Bruna Almeida, Steven J. Lade, and Anna Norberg

Abstract. Planetary boundaries (PBs) are complexly interlinked, as the transgression of either one can worsen the status of others. Such cascading processes can accelerate Earth system destabilization and shrink humanity's safe manoeuvring space. To demonstrate the crucial need to maintain multiple PBs, we unravel interactions between the three PBs for freshwater change, climate change and land-system change (representative of key biosphere–atmosphere feedbacks), and how they are linked via PB control and response variables. Thereby we exemplify how transgressions of these PBs are driven both directly by human activities and indirectly by biophysically or anthropogenically mediated effects of other PBs' transgressions. As we also highlight, measures to maintain a single PB – such as large-scale terrestrial carbon dioxide removal aimed at lowering pressure on the climate change PB – can unintentionally become a force of transgression of other PBs, creating new impacts. To identify fallacies and uncontrolled feedbacks that may put Earth system stability at further risk, we propose a systematic model-based assessment of interacting impacts of PB transgressions and of measures to maintain multiple PBs simultaneously.

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Dieter Gerten, Bruna Almeida, Steven J. Lade, and Anna Norberg

Status: open (until 22 Dec 2025)

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Dieter Gerten, Bruna Almeida, Steven J. Lade, and Anna Norberg
Dieter Gerten, Bruna Almeida, Steven J. Lade, and Anna Norberg
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Latest update: 10 Nov 2025
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Short summary
Transgression of planetary boundaries increases the risk of Earth system destabilization, in particular as the impacts may compound each other. This Perspective unravels processes underlying interactions between the planetary boundaries for freshwater change, climate change and land-system change. It proposes a systematic model-based assessment of drivers and impacts of their interactions, emphasising the need to maintain multiple boundaries collectively so as to avoid uncontrolled feedbacks.
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