Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4474
19 Sep 2025
 | 19 Sep 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Landfalling tropical cyclones significantly reduce Bangladesh's energy security

Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield

Abstract. Bangladesh's rapidly expanding, yet fragile, electricity grid is highly exposed to tropical cyclones. However, the operational impacts of these storms on the power system are not well quantified. Here, we combine daily metered electricity demand data for Bangladesh's nine power zones with meteorological and hazard datasets over the last decade. We find that landfalling tropical cyclones cause an average 20 % reduction in national electricity supply, with coastal zones disproportionately affected, experiencing drops of up to 38 %. Analysis of case studies shows that high winds, storm surge, and extreme precipitation are all key contributors to these outages. While Bangladesh imports power from neighbouring West Bengal (India) to strengthen security, we show that cyclone impacts are often correlated across both regions, limiting the reliability of this backup during major events. We highlight the need for continued investment in climate-resilient energy infrastructure in the region, as well as adaptation to such extremes, which are projected to become more severe with climate change.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield

Status: open (until 06 Nov 2025)

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Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield

Data sets

Bangladesh electricity demand by state (2015–2025) Kieran M. R. Hunt https://gws-access.jasmin.ac.uk/public/wcssp_india/kieran/bangladesh-electricity-demand.csv

Kieran M. R. Hunt and Hannah C. Bloomfield

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Short summary
Bangladesh’s power grid is highly vulnerable to tropical cyclones. Using nearly a decade of daily data, we show landfalling storms cut national electricity supply by about 20 % on the day, with coastal regions hit hardest (up to 38 %). Damage comes from high winds, storm surge and heavy rain. Power imports from India often can’t help during big events because both areas are struck together. Building sturdier, climate-resilient infrastructure is essential.
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