Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4446
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4446
18 Sep 2025
 | 18 Sep 2025

Spatio-temporal variability of greenhouse gas concentrations and fluxes in shallow coastal bays of the western Baltic Sea

Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg

Abstract. Coastal ecosystems play a crucial role in greenhouse gas (GHG) dynamics but are less studied than open oceans or terrestrial systems. This study measured concentrations of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) in six shallow bays of the wider Stockholm Archipelago during spring (April) and fall (September–October) 2024 using cavity ring-down spectroscopy combined with a water equilibration system. We explored how GHG levels relate to bay characteristics and seawater properties, revealing significant seasonal variation concentrations. Surface water pCO2 ranged from 225–1372 ppm, CH4 from 3.6–580 nmol L−1, and N2O from 8–20.8 nmol L−1 with pCO2 and CH4 higher in fall and N2O higher in spring. CH4 concentrations below 250 nmol L−1 negatively correlated with N2O, while higher CH4 levels showed a positive correlation, indicating a shift in biogeochemical processes. All bays except the two most open ones (which acted as net sinks in spring) served as GHG sources at the time of sampling, with one anthropogenically degraded bay showing CH4 emissions that surpassed CO2 uptake. CO2-equivalent fluxes ranged from -76.1 to 710.8 mg CO2-eq m−2 d−2 (median: 56.9 mg CO2-eq m−2 d−2). These findings highlight the variability and complexity of coastal ecosystems and demonstrate the importance of high-resolution measurements for accurate up-scaling of fluxes from these dynamic environments.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

03 Mar 2026
Spatial variability of greenhouse gas concentrations and fluxes in shallow coastal bays of the western Baltic Sea
Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg
Biogeosciences, 23, 1653–1680, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1653-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1653-2026, 2026
Short summary
Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Nov 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #3, 27 Nov 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Nov 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #2, 24 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4446', Anonymous Referee #3, 27 Nov 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Julika Zinke, 30 Jan 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (02 Feb 2026) by Hermann Bange
AR by Julika Zinke on behalf of the Authors (03 Feb 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Feb 2026) by Hermann Bange
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (13 Feb 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (13 Feb 2026) by Hermann Bange
AR by Julika Zinke on behalf of the Authors (19 Feb 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (20 Feb 2026) by Hermann Bange
AR by Julika Zinke on behalf of the Authors (21 Feb 2026)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

03 Mar 2026
Spatial variability of greenhouse gas concentrations and fluxes in shallow coastal bays of the western Baltic Sea
Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg
Biogeosciences, 23, 1653–1680, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1653-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-1653-2026, 2026
Short summary
Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg
Julika Zinke, Joakim P. Hansen, Martijn Hermans, Alexis Fonseca, Sofia A. Wikström, Linda Kumblad, Emil Rydin, Marc Geibel, Matthew E. Salter, and Christoph Humborg

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Short summary
This study presents one of the few studies to simultaneously measure all three major greenhouse gases across multiple shallow coastal bays in the Baltic Sea. Our findings reveal that these bays are highly variable and significant sources of greenhouse gases, with fluxes strongly influenced by bay characteristics and seasonal variation. By linking concentrations to environmental drivers, our work provides novel insights into overlooked but important components of coastal greenhouse gas budgets.
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