Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4305
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4305
15 Sep 2025
 | 15 Sep 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

LUCIE-3D: A three-dimensional climate emulator for forced responses

Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, and Romit Maulik

Abstract. We introduce LUCIE-3D, a lightweight three-dimensional climate emulator designed to capture the vertical structure of the atmosphere, respond to climate change forcings, and maintain computational efficiency with long-term stability. Building on the original LUCIE-2D framework, LUCIE-3D employs a Spherical Fourier Neural Operator (SFNO) backbone and is trained on 30 years of ERA5 reanalysis data spanning eight vertical σ-levels. The model incorporates atmospheric CO2 as a forcing variable and optionally integrates prescribed sea surface temperature (SST) to simulate coupled ocean atmosphere dynamics. Results demonstrate that LUCIE-3D successfully reproduces climatological means, variability, and long-term climate change signals, including surface warming and stratospheric cooling under increasing CO2 concentrations. The model further captures key dynamical processes such as equatorial Kelvin waves, the Madden–Julian Oscillation, and annular modes, while showing credible behavior in the statistics of extreme events. Despite requiring longer training than its 2D predecessor, LUCIE-3D remains efficient, training in under five hours on four GPUs. Its combination of stability, physical consistency, and accessibility makes it a valuable tool for rapid experimentation, ablation studies, and the exploration of coupled climate dynamics, with potential applications extending to paleoclimate research and future Earth system emulation.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, and Romit Maulik

Status: open (until 10 Nov 2025)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, and Romit Maulik

Model code and software

LUCIE-3D: A three-dimensional climate emulator for forced responses Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.17032360

Haiwen Guan, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, and Romit Maulik
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 15 Sep 2025
Download
Short summary
LUCIE-3D is a fast machine learning climate model that simulates the atmosphere in 3D using 30 years of ERA5 data across eight levels. It takes changing CO2 and optional SST to reflect ocean effects. LUCIE-3D reproduces means, variability, and long-term signals like surface warming and stratospheric cooling, and captures patterns such as equatorial Kelvin waves, the MJO, and annular modes. It trains in under five hours on four GPUs, supporting quick studies and coupled climate exploration.
Share