Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4277
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4277
21 Oct 2025
 | 21 Oct 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Improving Thermodynamic Nudging in the E3SM Atmosphere Model Version 2 (EAMv2): Strategy and Hindcast Skills on Weather Systems

Shixuan Zhang, L. Ruby Leung, Bryce E. Harrop, Aniruddha Bora, George Karniadakis, Khemraj Shukla, and Kai Zhang

Abstract. Nudging techniques are commonly employed to constrain atmospheric simulations toward observed states, facilitating model evaluation and sensitivity studies. However, if applied improperly—particularly to thermodynamic variables such as temperature and humidity—nudging can distort physical processes and introduce spurious biases, undermining the credibility of the simulations. This study presents an improved nudging implementation that applies vertically modulated tendencies to reduce adverse impacts on model physics. The framework is tested in version 2 of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (EAMv2) using a suite of hindcast simulations nudged toward ERA5 reanalysis. We systematically evaluate the individual and combined effects of nudging wind, temperature, and humidity fields on the model’s ability to represent large-scale atmospheric states and high-impact weather systems. Results show that the revised strategy—particularly when nudging temperature and humidity at selected levels—enhances hindcast skill by improving agreement with ERA5 without degrading the hydrological cycle or precipitation processes. Additional improvements in surface temperature, outgoing longwave radiation, and precipitation biases are achieved through targeted nudging of land surface variables. The proposed approach strengthens the representation of large-scale conditions relevant to tropical cyclones, atmospheric rivers, and extratropical cyclones in the low-resolution EAMv2. These findings demonstrate that carefully designed thermodynamic nudging, especially of temperature and humidity, improves the realism of constrained simulations and broadens the utility of nudged EAMv2 for atmospheric modeling, machine learning, and high-impact weather research.

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Shixuan Zhang, L. Ruby Leung, Bryce E. Harrop, Aniruddha Bora, George Karniadakis, Khemraj Shukla, and Kai Zhang

Status: open (until 16 Dec 2025)

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Shixuan Zhang, L. Ruby Leung, Bryce E. Harrop, Aniruddha Bora, George Karniadakis, Khemraj Shukla, and Kai Zhang

Data sets

Analysis scripts and dataset for Zhang et. al. (2025) Shixuan Zhang https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16816258

Model code and software

E3SM Model Code for Zhang et. al. (2025) E3SM Developers and Shixuan Zhang https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16815018

Shixuan Zhang, L. Ruby Leung, Bryce E. Harrop, Aniruddha Bora, George Karniadakis, Khemraj Shukla, and Kai Zhang
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Latest update: 21 Oct 2025
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Short summary
We developed a new method to guide the simulated atmosphere in an Earth system model so it better reflects real-world weather. By adjusting temperature and humidity, it reduces unwanted side effects and improves the realism of rainfall, energy flows, land–surface conditions, and extreme storms such as cyclones and atmospheric rivers. This makes the model more useful for testing its performance, understanding high-impact weather events, and creating reliable training data for machine learning.
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