Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4109
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4109
01 Sep 2025
 | 01 Sep 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Climate of the Past (CP).

Impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship on the simulated Arctic warming during the last interglacial

Nozomi Arima, Masakazu Yoshimori, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Ryouta O’ishi, Wing-Le Chan, Sam Sherriff-Tadano, and Tomoo Ogura

Abstract. The Arctic during the last interglacial period (LIG) was considered warmer than today. While a recent proxy-based study suggests the disappearance of summer sea ice in the Arctic at the LIG, many climate models fail to capture this feature. It is thus essential to investigate sources of uncertainty in numerical models. The current study examines the impact of the temperature-cloud phase relationship. Sensitivity studies are conducted for the first time to explore the potential importance of this relationship in simulating the LIG climate. Two different cloud parameter sets are used for an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model with and without the dynamic vegetation feedback. The model with cloud parametrization permitting liquid water at a lower temperature and a larger fraction of supercooled liquid water at the same temperature simulates a warmer preindustrial (PI) climate, larger annual mean Arctic warming at the LIG, and substantially reduced sea ice cover during summer at the LIG. It is demonstrated that the low-level clouds play a crucial role in controlling the Arctic response via the greenhouse effect. The result indicates the importance of the temperature-cloud phase relationship in simulating the Arctic climate at the LIG. It also highlights the importance of accurately simulating modern sea ice thickness and representing the processes that affect the fraction of supercooled liquid water in clouds.

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Nozomi Arima, Masakazu Yoshimori, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Ryouta O’ishi, Wing-Le Chan, Sam Sherriff-Tadano, and Tomoo Ogura

Status: open (until 27 Oct 2025)

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Nozomi Arima, Masakazu Yoshimori, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Ryouta O’ishi, Wing-Le Chan, Sam Sherriff-Tadano, and Tomoo Ogura
Nozomi Arima, Masakazu Yoshimori, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Ryouta O’ishi, Wing-Le Chan, Sam Sherriff-Tadano, and Tomoo Ogura
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Latest update: 01 Sep 2025
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Short summary
During the last interglacial period, spanning from 129,000 to 116,000 years ago, the Arctic was known to be warmer than the preindustrial period. Many climate models do not simulate an ice-free summer Arctic Ocean, which was suggested by a recent reconstruction. Here, we examine the importance of how the liquid or solid phase of cloud particles is determined in models. It is found that the representation of cloud phase indeed has a substantial impact on the simulation of summer sea ice cover.
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