Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).
Cold spells induced by slow and amplified atmospheric waves
Morteza Babaei,Rune Grand Graversen,Johannes Patrick Stoll,and Jakub Petříček
Abstract. Cold spells in the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes have been linked to planetary waves. Yet the mechanisms by which these waves impact cold-spell formation remain unclear. Here we develop novel metrics to separately measure the amplitude and speed of ridges and troughs, examining the behavior of planetary waves during winter cold spells. Our findings indicate that while the planetary waves across the entire mid-latitudes experience significant changes during cold spells, local wave dynamics play a major role in developing these events. The nearest upstream ridge and downstream trough of the cold-spell region are located in a way that facilitates development of the extreme cold anomaly. This ridge and trough amplify and slow, enhancing and prolonging southward advection of cold air from the Arctic into the cold-spell region. The slow and amplified upstream ridge and downstream trough occur several days before the region’s minimum temperature, suggesting these local wave anomalies induce cold-spell formation.
Received: 08 Aug 2025 – Discussion started: 15 Aug 2025
Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Extreme weather events have historically caused major challenges for humanity. Yet, our understanding of the mechanisms that contribute to their formation remains unclear. Our study provides evidence that locally amplified and slow-moving planetary waves are responsible for the formation of extreme cold spells. These findings are obtained based on two novel metrics assessing the amplitude and speed of ridges and troughs separately at all longitudes around latitude circles.
Extreme weather events have historically caused major challenges for humanity. Yet, our...