Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-374
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-374
05 Feb 2025
 | 05 Feb 2025

A machine learning-based perspective on deep convective clouds and their organisation in 3D. Part I: Influence of deep convective cores on the cloud life-cycle

Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost

Abstract. In this two-part sequence of papers, we investigate spatio-temporal patterns of convective cloud activity and organisation. The analysis employs a machine learning (ML)-based contiguous 3D extrapolation of satellite data from multiple sensors to simultaneously follow horizontal and vertical cloud development. Our study covers West Africa, a hotspot for intense convection and severe weather. In this part, we derive seasonal and diurnal variations for convective cloud properties during spring (March–May) and summer (June–August). Moreover, we explore the connection between the number of deep convective cores (DCCs) and the cloud life-cycle. For that purpose, we track the evolution of convective systems and their core regions. More than 80 % of detected clouds contain a single convective core and persist between 1–3 hours. These isolated clouds have an enhanced absolute cooling but weaker anvil growth and updraft strength during their growth stage than clustered systems. The average difference between oceanic and continental cloud properties accounts for about 10 %. However, we detect a high seasonal variability and a surface-specific diurnal cycle. We find long-lasting cloud clusters with more intense core regions over continental Africa. Within these clusters, the interaction between cores may renew convective activity. The horizontal growth of convective clouds is about 5–10 % more intense over land in both seasons, even though convective activity over the ocean increases stronger in summer. While our results emphasise an enhanced convective activity over land, we suggest further analysis of regional patterns of clustered convection and their hydro-climatological impact.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

19 Sep 2025
A machine-learning-based perspective on deep convective clouds and their organisation in 3D – Part 1: Influence of deep convective cores on the cloud life cycle
Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 10773–10795, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-10773-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-10773-2025, 2025
Short summary
Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Sarah Brüning on behalf of the Authors (23 May 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 May 2025) by Guy Dagan
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (06 Jun 2025)
RR by Thomas DeWitt (02 Jul 2025)
ED: Publish as is (03 Jul 2025) by Guy Dagan
AR by Sarah Brüning on behalf of the Authors (08 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

19 Sep 2025
A machine-learning-based perspective on deep convective clouds and their organisation in 3D – Part 1: Influence of deep convective cores on the cloud life cycle
Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 10773–10795, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-10773-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-10773-2025, 2025
Short summary
Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost

Data sets

Convective cloud trajectories from 3D radar reflectivities Sarah Brüning https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14724401

Model code and software

Detecting ML-based convective clouds using 3D observational data Sarah Brüning https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14699719

Sarah Brüning and Holger Tost

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Latest update: 22 Sep 2025
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Short summary
This study analyses the temporal variability and life-cycle of spatially organised convective clouds, frequently associated with severe weather. We derive the data from a machine learning-based 3D extrapolation of 2D satellite data. The results highlight the impact of convective organisation on horizontal and vertical cloud properties and a prolonged cloud life-cycle. Overall, our findings emphasise a more intense activity over land but enhanced seasonal changes over the ocean.
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