Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3686
30 Sep 2025
 | 30 Sep 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Detection and characterization of precipitation extremes and geohydrological hazards over a transboundary Alpine area based on different methods and climate datasets

Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore

Abstract. Extreme hydrometeorological events are increasingly raising concern in central Europe, particularly in the European Alps, where they pose significant threats to ecological and socio-economic systems. To support authorities to improve risk reduction and climate change adaptation efforts it is crucial to understand upon which conditions the available meteorological data allow for the detection of meteorological extremes able to trigger hazardous events in a given area of interest. Considering precipitation as a key triggering factor for such hazards, this study explores different approaches for the identification of extreme precipitation events and the assessment of their link to geohydrological processes (i.e., landslides, debris flows, floods) observed in a transboundary Alpine region between Austria and Italy from 2003 to 2020. Three definitions of extremes based on regional and local-scale statistics were applied to the daily precipitation grids from four meteorological datasets and the events identified by each combination of datasets and statistical approaches were then compared with hazard occurrences both spatially and temporally. Results show that daily precipitation fields identified as extreme by local-scale statistics, i.e., considering local intensities, report a greater spatial and temporal match with observed hazards. High-resolution observation products, especially if in situ observations are combined with radar data, offer a more detailed and reliable representation of precipitation intensities and relation with hazards. For all methods, the coarser-resolution reanalysis ERA5-Land shows the lowest performance in explaining hazard occurrences, mostly due to the gap between the spatial scale resolved by the data and the one relevant for geohydrological processes. The precipitation statistics and the fields of extreme events identified for the considered region are provided as a reference for further studies. The outcomes of this work can provide methodological recommendations for supporting the understanding and modelling of transboundary risks related to precipitation extremes triggering geohydrological processes in the Alpine regions.

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Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore

Status: open (until 11 Nov 2025)

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Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore

Data sets

1-day precipitation extremes over 2003-2020 in a transboundary Alpine area (Eastern Alps) identified by different methods and climate datasets A. Crespi et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15756269

Alice Crespi, Katharina Enigl, Sebastian Lehner, Klaus Haslinger, and Massimiliano Pittore

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Short summary
Extreme precipitation poses a risk for the Alpine region as it can trigger floods, debris flows, landslides and rockfalls, which can have severe consequences for people and their activities. This study investigates how past precipitation extremes in a transboundary Alpine area can be detected, especially those corresponding with hazard occurrences. The findings can inform risk managers and support the methodological choices for the development of effective early warming systems.
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