Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3622
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3622
16 Sep 2025
 | 16 Sep 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

MCSeg (v1.0): A Deep Learning Framework for Long-Term Large-Scale Mesoscale Convective Systems Identification and Precipitation Event Analysis

Peng Li, Zhanao Huang, Yongqiang Yu, Xi Wu, Xiaomeng Huang, and Xiaojie Li

Abstract. Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) are critical components of the climate system and are frequently responsible for extreme precipitation and other catastrophic weather events. Rapid and accurate identification of MCSs can significantly enhance our ability to respond to such extreme events. Traditionally, MCSs identification has relied on threshold-based methods, which are often limited by slower processing speeds and smaller detection areas. Recent advancements in deep learning techniques for object recognition offer a promising alternative for MCSs identification. In this study, we propose an advanced approach to address the challenges associated with traditional threshold-based MCSs identification by creating a specialized dataset and training an MCSs recognition model. First, we constructed an MCSs identification dataset based on infrared satellite data, covering a spatial range (60° S – 60° N, 180° W – 180° E), and a temporal range from 2011 to 2023. Subsequently, by integrating a significance learning strategy and a multi-scale feature extraction method, we developed MCSeg, a novel MCSs recognition model tailored specifically for mid- and low-latitude regions. Finally, we compared the MCSs identified using MCSeg with those identified using the threshold method and conducted precipitation event analysis. The results of the two methods showed a high degree of consistency, indicating the feasibility of applying deep learning methods to MCSs identification.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Geoscientific Model Development.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Peng Li, Zhanao Huang, Yongqiang Yu, Xi Wu, Xiaomeng Huang, and Xiaojie Li

Status: open (until 11 Nov 2025)

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Peng Li, Zhanao Huang, Yongqiang Yu, Xi Wu, Xiaomeng Huang, and Xiaojie Li
Peng Li, Zhanao Huang, Yongqiang Yu, Xi Wu, Xiaomeng Huang, and Xiaojie Li
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Short summary
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are a major cause of severe weather events. Traditional MCS identification methods rely on threshold-based approaches, which are computationally inefficient. To address this limitation, we propose a novel deep learning model for automated MCS detection. Our model achieves comparable accuracy to threshold-based methods while delivering a 200× speedup in processing efficiency.
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