Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3553
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3553
05 Nov 2025
 | 05 Nov 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Iterative run-time bias corrections in an atmospheric GCM (LMDZ v6.3)

Gerhard Krinner, Aude Champouillon, Juliette Blanchet, and Frédérique Chéruy

Abstract. Run-time bias corrections of atmospheric circulation models can be based on nudging (newtonian relaxation) to an atmospheric reanalysis. In this case, the time increments of selected state variables are modified by adding the nudging terms obtained with an uncorrected version the model. This is a well-known method to improve the models’ representation of large-scale circulation patterns. In this work, we propose and evaluate a variant of this method, consisting of iterative nudging: the corrected model is itself nudged towards the reanalysis, and the resulting nudging terms are added to the initial ones to calculate the new, iterated correction terms. This procedure can be iterated an arbitrary number of times. Evaluating the LMDZ atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) for a varying number of iterations of nudging to the ERA5 reanalysis for the period 1981–2000, we show that the simulated large-scale circulation patterns over the period 2001–2020 are consistently improved when the bias correction procedure is iterated compared to the non-iterated original procedure. However, while there is a clear benefit of one or two iterations of the bias correction method, signs of over-correction appear after about three iterations.

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Gerhard Krinner, Aude Champouillon, Juliette Blanchet, and Frédérique Chéruy

Status: open (until 31 Dec 2025)

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Gerhard Krinner, Aude Champouillon, Juliette Blanchet, and Frédérique Chéruy
Gerhard Krinner, Aude Champouillon, Juliette Blanchet, and Frédérique Chéruy
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Latest update: 05 Nov 2025
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Short summary
Although the scientific community has made much progress over the last decades, climate models still do not perfectly simulate the present climate. Therefore, the model outputs are usually corrected for these errors. This article presents a method to apply successive stages of repeated error correction that lead to a better simulation of the present climate than in previous studies, in which the same correction method had been applied only once.
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