Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3398
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3398
21 Jul 2025
 | 21 Jul 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Annales Geophysicae (ANGEO).

Variability and trend analysis of temperature in the upper troposphere and stratosphere region over the tropics (Réunion), by combining balloon-sonde and satellite measurements

Gregori de Arruda Moreira, Hassan Bencherif, Tristan Millet, and Damaris Kirsch Pinheiro

Abstract. Tropopause height and temperature play a crucial role in atmospheric chemistry and radiative forcing and serve as key indicators of anthropogenic climate change. However, accurately determining this parameter requires advanced remote sensing techniques. This study compares tropopause height estimates from in-situ and remote sensing instruments (SHADOZ and COSMIC-1) with reanalysis data from MERRA-2 over Réunion from 2006 to 2020. The results reveal strong agreement between vertical temperature profiles obtained from SHADOZ and COSMIC-1, demonstrating that both can reliably estimate tropopause height using the Cold Point Temperature (CPT) and/or Lapse Rate Temperature (LRT) methods. Conversely, while MERRA-2 assimilates data from these sources, its fixed vertical resolution limits its ability to capture tropopause height variations accurately. Given the consistency between SHADOZ and COSMIC-1, their data were combined to construct a more refined dataset, which was then used to assess temperature trends. The analysis indicates a high influence of annual and semi-annual oscillations in Tropopause height dynamics, as well as, a decreasing trend in CPT and a slight increase in the Lapse Rate Tropopause (LRT) height.

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Gregori de Arruda Moreira, Hassan Bencherif, Tristan Millet, and Damaris Kirsch Pinheiro

Status: open (until 22 Oct 2025)

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Gregori de Arruda Moreira, Hassan Bencherif, Tristan Millet, and Damaris Kirsch Pinheiro
Gregori de Arruda Moreira, Hassan Bencherif, Tristan Millet, and Damaris Kirsch Pinheiro

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Short summary
Tropopause temperature and height serve as key indicators of anthropogenic climate change. However, monitoring their variability remains challenging due to the sparse distribution of observation stations, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere. To address this, we compared temperature profiles from three datasets—SHADOZ, COSMIC-1, and MERRA-2—to assess their similarities and differences and to develop a refined dataset for trend analysis.
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