Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3373
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3373
18 Jul 2025
 | 18 Jul 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Using evapotranspiration signatures to assess evapotranspiration realism in rainfall-runoff models

Hansini Gardiya Weligamage, Keirnan Fowler, Margarita Saft, Tim Peterson, Dongryeol Ryu, and Murray Peel

Abstract. Conceptual rainfall-runoff models are typically evaluated using streamflow data. Many studies have shown the benefits of moving from a conventional single-objective function to consideration of multiple signatures of streamflow behaviour, allowing more specific diagnosis of model deficiencies. In this study, we extend this approach beyond streamflow, using actual evapotranspiration (AET) signatures to assess AET dynamics in traditionally calibrated conceptual rainfall-runoff models. We calibrated models to streamflow only and separately to streamflow jointly with AET, then evaluated AET realism using AET signatures defined across various temporal scales. This was done for five models at 14 Australian sites spanning a variety of conditions, with each site co-located with a flux tower. Our results show that incorporating AET data into calibration significantly improves aspects of AET dynamics in models, particularly monthly variability and the degree to which AET and potential evapotranspiration are synchronous or asynchronous. This improvement extends even to the independent evaluation period in split sample testing. However, other signatures were not well improved, including aspects of seasonal and event-scale timing, in addition to interannual variability. Future research could explore a wider range of calibration strategies to assess whether these deficiencies can be calibrated away or are inherent to the models. Overall, these findings suggest that commonly used conceptual rainfall-runoff models struggle with many aspects of AET dynamics, even when AET information is included in the calibration. We recommend that future model evaluations examine a wider range of measures, aiming to characterise performance against non-streamflow variables in a more holistic manner.

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Hansini Gardiya Weligamage, Keirnan Fowler, Margarita Saft, Tim Peterson, Dongryeol Ryu, and Murray Peel

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Hansini Gardiya Weligamage, Keirnan Fowler, Margarita Saft, Tim Peterson, Dongryeol Ryu, and Murray Peel

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Assessing evapotranspiration realism in rainfall-runoff models using evapotranspiration signatures Hansini Gardiya Weligamage, Keirnan Fowler, Margarita Saft, Tim Peterson, Dongryeol Ryu, Murray C. Peel https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14228809

Hansini Gardiya Weligamage, Keirnan Fowler, Margarita Saft, Tim Peterson, Dongryeol Ryu, and Murray Peel

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Short summary
This study adopts actual evapotranspiration (AET) signatures to diagnose deficiencies in simulation of AET within conceptual rainfall-runoff models. Five models are assessed using flux tower data at 14 Australian sites. Even when AET is included in the calibration, the models struggle to represent aspects of AET dynamics, including interannual variability and timing on seasonal and event scales. The approach shows promise for more insightful critique of model simulations.
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