Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2981
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2981
27 Jun 2025
 | 27 Jun 2025

Radiative forcing and stratospheric ozone changes due to major forest fires and recent volcanic eruptions including Hunga Tonga

Christoph Brühl, Matthias Kohl, and Jos Lelieveld

Abstract. Recent studies suggest that  emissions from large forest fires affect stratospheric chemistry, dynamics, and climate, similar to major volcanic eruptions. Using the chemistry-climate model EMAC, we demonstrate that organic carbon emitted from forest fires, injected into the stratosphere through pyro-cumulonimbi, enhances heterogeneous chlorine activation due to increased solubility of HCl in particles containing organic acids and an augmented aerosol surface area. Following the 2019/2020 Australian megafires, the upward transport of the pollution plumes resulted in enhanced ozone depletion in the Southern Hemisphere lower stratosphere, as corroborated by satellite observations. It diminished column ozone in the following two years, accompanied by a dynamically induced reduction in 2020 due to the lofting of smoke-filled vortices, in total by up to 45 DU. The eruption of the submarine Hunga Tonga volcano in January 2022 caused a decline in total ozone across the entire Southern Hemisphere. The water vapour injection from the volcano altered only the vertical distribution of ozone loss. The sunlight-absorbing aerosol from the combined Australian and Canadian forest fire emissions in 2019/2020 induced the most significant perturbation in stratospheric optical depth since the major eruption of Pinatubo in 1991. It shifted the sign of instantaneous stratospheric aerosol forcing, derived at the top of the atmosphere, from −0.2 Wm-2 to +0.3 Wm-2 in January 2020. The global aerosol radiative forcing resulting from the Hunga Tonga eruption was −0.13 Wm-2, primarily driven by changes in stratospheric sulfate aerosols. The positive radiative forcing from the injected water vapour was minimal.

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Christoph Brühl, Matthias Kohl, and Jos Lelieveld

Status: final response (author comments only)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981', Anonymous Referee #1, 25 Jul 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Jul 2025
  • AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2981, major points of reviews', Christoph Brühl, 06 Aug 2025
Christoph Brühl, Matthias Kohl, and Jos Lelieveld
Christoph Brühl, Matthias Kohl, and Jos Lelieveld

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Short summary
Simulations with a comprehensive chemistry-climate model show that organic aerosol from recent major forest fires strongly enhances heterogeneous ozone depletion by chlorine in the middle and high latitude lower stratosphere, supported by satellite observations. This sunlight-absorbing, self-lofting aerosol perturbs the radiation budget and stratospheric dynamics differently from major volcanic eruptions, which are also included in this study.
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