Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-285
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-285
18 Mar 2025
 | 18 Mar 2025

Nonlinear effects of the stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation on ENSO modulating PM2.5 over the North China Plain in early winter

Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng

Abstract. The North China Plain (NCP) experiences severe air pollution, with PM2.5 (fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μm) as the primary pollutant, especially in early winter (November to December). The PM2.5 concentrations in this period is significantly modulated by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In this study, we have found that the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) exerts a nonlinear impact on the relationship between ENSO and PM2.5 concentrations over the NCP in early winter. During the easterly QBO (EQBO) phase, ENSO’s influence on PM2.5 concentration is stronger compared to the westerly QBO (WQBO) phase. In El Niño and EQBO years, PM2.5 concentrations rise due to meteorological factors like a shallower boundary layer, higher relative humidity, and intensified southerly wind anomalies. Conversely, during La Niña and EQBO years, PM2.5 levels decrease due to opposite meteorological conditions. The study attributes these changes to planetary wave dynamics. During El Niño and EQBO years, upward-propagating planetary waves in mid-latitudes enhance upper-level divergence over Eurasia, strengthening westerlies. These westerlies guide Rossby wave trains into Northeast Asia, forming a strong anomalous anticyclone that worsens air pollution over the NCP. In La Niña and EQBO years, downward-propagating planetary waves induce divergence in sub-polar regions, strengthening westerlies that facilitate La Niña-related wave trains. These wave trains trigger cyclonic circulation over Northeast Asia, improving air quality in the NCP. These findings underscore the complex interplay between ENSO, QBO, and atmospheric dynamics in shaping regional air pollution.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Oct 2025
Nonlinear effects of the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on ENSO modulating PM2.5 over the North China Plain in early winter
Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 13343–13357, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13343-2025, 2025
Short summary
Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-285', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Jun 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-285', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Jun 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-285', Anonymous Referee #1, 06 Jun 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-285', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Jun 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Xiadong An on behalf of the Authors (02 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (03 Jul 2025) by Marco Gaetani
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (15 Jul 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (17 Jul 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (21 Jul 2025) by Marco Gaetani
AR by Xiadong An on behalf of the Authors (15 Aug 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Aug 2025) by Marco Gaetani
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (04 Sep 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (09 Sep 2025) by Marco Gaetani
AR by Xiadong An on behalf of the Authors (11 Sep 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (15 Sep 2025) by Marco Gaetani
AR by Xiadong An on behalf of the Authors (16 Sep 2025)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Oct 2025
Nonlinear effects of the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation on ENSO modulating PM2.5 over the North China Plain in early winter
Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 13343–13357, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13343-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-13343-2025, 2025
Short summary
Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng
Xiadong An, Wen Chen, Tianjiao Ma, and Lifang Sheng

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Short summary
Air pollution in the North China Plain is tends to be influenced by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO). During El Niño and easterly QBO, pollution rises, while La Niña and easterly QBO improve air quality through changes in atmospheric circulation and weather conditions.
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