Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2550
01 Jul 2025
 | 01 Jul 2025

On the gap between crop and land surface models: comparing irrigation and other land surface estimates from AquaCrop and Noah-MP over the Po Valley

Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy

Abstract. Land surface and crop models both simulate irrigation, but they differ in their approaches, primarily because they were originally developed for distinct purposes and scales. Through an example case study in a highly irrigated region, this research helps to better understand the gap between these models and the complexity of irrigation modeling. More specifically, irrigation was estimated over the Po Valley (Italy) at a 1-km2 spatial resolution using (i) a crop model, AquaCrop, and (ii) a land surface model, Noah-MP. Both models were run with sprinkler irrigation using a similar setup within NASA's Land Information System. Irrigation estimates were evaluated at the pixel and basin scale, using in situ and satellite-based reference data. In addition, surface soil moisture (SSM), vegetation, and evapotranspiration (ET) estimates were compared with satellite retrievals.

Noah-MP has on average higher annual irrigation rates (434 mm yr-1) than AquaCrop (268 mm yr-1), mainly because Noah-MP simulates more irrigation water losses (not consumed by transpiration) via runoff, interception, and soil evaporative losses, whereas AquaCrop only accounts for soil evaporative losses. When adding representative application water losses to irrigation estimates from AquaCrop, and conveyance water losses to the estimates from both models, the irrigation estimates from both models fall within reported ranges of 500–600 mm yr-1. For the field-based evaluation, Noah-MP presents large irrigation events (> 100 mm per event) and less interannual variability than AquaCrop. Two-week averaged SSM estimates from both models agree well with downscaled estimates from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission, with spatially averaged unbiased root mean square differences of 0.05 and 0.04 m3 m-3 for AquaCrop and Noah-MP, respectively. Both models show limitations in terms of vegetation and ET modeling, mainly due to simplistic vegetation modules and suboptimal parameterization in both models. The results highlight the complexity of irrigation modeling due to its anthropogenic nature, and also show the need for better observations to validate and guide model estimates: reference irrigation data are sparse and satellite retrievals under irrigated conditions are quite uncertain.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

04 May 2026
On the gap between crop and land surface models: comparing irrigation and other land surface estimates from AquaCrop and Noah-MP over the Po Valley
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 2579–2611, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2579-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2579-2026, 2026
Short summary
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen, 05 Jul 2025
    • CC2: '1. Reply on CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen -- part 1', GabriĆ«lle De Lannoy, 11 Sep 2025
    • CC3: '2. Reply on CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen -- part 2', GabriĆ«lle De Lannoy, 11 Sep 2025
      • CC4: 'Reply on CC3', Nima Zafarmomen, 26 Nov 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Sep 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Marco Acutis, 21 Nov 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC4: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #4, 27 Nov 2025
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC4', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen, 05 Jul 2025
    • CC2: '1. Reply on CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen -- part 1', GabriĆ«lle De Lannoy, 11 Sep 2025
    • CC3: '2. Reply on CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Nima Zafarmomen -- part 2', GabriĆ«lle De Lannoy, 11 Sep 2025
      • CC4: 'Reply on CC3', Nima Zafarmomen, 26 Nov 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Sep 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Nov 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Marco Acutis, 21 Nov 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025
  • RC4: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2550', Anonymous Referee #4, 27 Nov 2025
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC4', Louise Busschaert, 18 Dec 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (05 Jan 2026) by Nunzio Romano
AR by Louise Busschaert on behalf of the Authors (16 Feb 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (17 Feb 2026) by Nunzio Romano
RR by Anonymous Referee #4 (18 Mar 2026)
RR by Marco Acutis (30 Mar 2026)
ED: Publish subject to revisions (further review by editor and referees) (02 Apr 2026) by Nunzio Romano
AR by Louise Busschaert on behalf of the Authors (16 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (26 Apr 2026) by Nunzio Romano
AR by Louise Busschaert on behalf of the Authors (27 Apr 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

04 May 2026
On the gap between crop and land surface models: comparing irrigation and other land surface estimates from AquaCrop and Noah-MP over the Po Valley
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 2579–2611, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2579-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-2579-2026, 2026
Short summary
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy
Louise Busschaert, Michel Bechtold, Sara Modanesi, Christian Massari, Dirk Raes, Sujay V. Kumar, and Gabriƫlle J. M. De Lannoy

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Latest update: 13 May 2026
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Short summary
This study estimates irrigation in the Po Valley using AquaCrop and Noah-MP models with sprinkler irrigation. Noah-MP shows higher annual rates than AquaCrop due to more water losses. After adjusting, both align with reported irrigation ranges (500–600 mm/yr). Soil moisture estimates from both models match satellite data, though both have limitations in vegetation and evapotranspiration modeling. The study emphasizes the need for observations to improve irrigation estimates.
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