the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
From column to surface: connecting the performance in simulating aerosol optical properties and PM2.5 concentrations in the NASA GEOSCCM
Abstract. Aerosols are a key climate forcer and harmful to human health at the surface. Accurately modeling aerosol optical properties, mass loading and their relationship is important for constraining aerosol-climate forcing and characterizing particulate matter pollution exposure. We investigate the drivers of uncertainties in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Chemistry Climate Model (GEOSCCM) in simulating aerosols by focusing on the link between aerosol optical properties and mass. We compare a GEOSCCM hindcast with long-term coincident observations including satellite AOD measurements, speciated PM2.5 datasets from observations-model data fusion, and ground-based measurements of aerosol mass and optical properties. We analyze regional trends and seasonal variations of AOD and PM2.5, and surface aerosol properties, including relative humidity's role in hygroscopic enhancement. This work also presents the first extensive assessment of GEOSCCM's aerosol component with observational data. Our findings show that biases in PM2.5 components and relative humidity significantly impact simulated aerosol scattering at the surface, while scattering efficiency assumptions align with observations. This indicates that errors in simulated scattering relate more to simulated aerosol mass and relative humidity than optical properties and size distribution assumptions in GEOSCCM. Our work highlights the importance of relative humidity biases on aerosol scattering enhancement for climate models where meteorology is not prescribed. Findings suggest improvements in GEOSCCM aerosols mass and optical properties could be achieved through updating emission inventories, especially over biomass burning regions, reducing nitrate biases, and improving relative humidity simulation.
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Status: open (until 18 Sep 2025)
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-2354', Haihui Zhu, 05 Sep 2025
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This study combines longterm AOD observations and detailed ground-based PM2.5 measurements to comprehensively evaluate GEOSCCM performance in surface aerosol, column AOD, and aerosol optical properties. It identifies key factors for improving performance of GEOSCCM and potentially other models. I recommend this manuscript to be published after minor revisions that address questions below.Â
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Specific comments:
L159-160: The ‘Southern Asia’ region is huge and include polluted regions with different behaviors (South Asia vs East Asia). Should justify why they can be combined in this analysis.Â
Section 4.2:Â
surface PM2.5 is notably underestimated for most regions except for NA and Aus, despite that AOD is in good agreement with satellite. Could add some discussions about why surface PM tend to be underestimated by GEOSCCM. Are there any previous work on the aerosol vertical distribution that can explain the bias? What could be done in the future for improving the agreement near the surface?Â
Section 4.3:Â
(1) the under estimated BC in Figure 6 and good agreement in Figure 7 seem to be suggesting anthropogenic BC not being capture in the model (emission inventory).Â
(2) There is consistent seasonality bias. And according to IMPROVE, the bias in background dust is getting higher. What could be contributing to this bias and trend? Inland intrusion of dust from the Atlantic Ocean can explain the bias in southeast US and maybe Southern US, but no so much in southwestern US.Â
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Minor comments:
L27: ‘relate more to simulated aerosol mass’ - would be more accurate to say ‘aerosol speciation’
~L300: eqn 1, sigma simple shows up as a question mark in the pdf document.
Table 1: ‘Washington U. S. Louis’ - it is not common to abbreviate ‘St. Louis’ as ‘S. Louis’.Â
Figure 6: y axis label is cut off for the first and fourth rows.Â
Table 2: could be moved to the supplements as it is not discussed a lot and figure 8 is illustrative enough.Â
L484: ‘Dame’ should be ‘Same’
L501: ‘except Europe’ could be removed since the model doesn’t obviously perform worse here.Â
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2354-RC1
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