Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1865
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1865
26 May 2025
 | 26 May 2025

Simulation of a contrail formation and early life cycle for a realistic airliner geometry

Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne

Abstract. Contrails—ice clouds that form in aircraft wakes—are thought to have a radiative impact up to twice that of CO2 emissions, although this estimate remains debated due to significant uncertainties. These uncertainties underline the need for further research into the entire life cycle of contrails, from the formation of initial ice crystals to their potential evolution into persistent cirrus clouds. The challenge lies in the wide range of spatial and temporal scales involved in contrail development.

This work presents a novel numerical methodology for simulating contrails from the onset of ice crystal formation to the dissipation of wingtip vortices. Unlike conventional methods that rely on analytical initialization, our approach couples Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) with Large Eddy Simulation (LES) and synthetic turbulence techniques. This allows for a more accurate capture of near-field effects and a detailed consideration of how aircraft geometry influences the aerodynamic wake and subsequent contrail evolution.

Applied to a realistic aircraft under standard atmospheric conditions, our methodology revealed that horizontal tailplane vortices can trigger short-wavelength instabilities in wingtip vortices, significantly modifying the structure of the secondary wake. Comparisons with classical approaches show that the contrails generated by this work methodology are wider and more opaque, indicating a potentially greater warming effect.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Jan 2026
Simulation of a contrail formation and early life cycle for a realistic airliner geometry
Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 1053–1078, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-1053-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-1053-2026, 2026
Short summary
Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1865', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Jun 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Younes Bouhafid, 29 Aug 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1865', Anonymous Referee #3, 02 Jul 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Younes Bouhafid, 29 Aug 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1865', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Jun 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC1', Younes Bouhafid, 29 Aug 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1865', Anonymous Referee #3, 02 Jul 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC2', Younes Bouhafid, 29 Aug 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Younes Bouhafid on behalf of the Authors (29 Aug 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes 
EF by Mario Ebel (01 Sep 2025)  Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (01 Sep 2025) by Matthias Tesche
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (19 Sep 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (23 Sep 2025) by Matthias Tesche
AR by Younes Bouhafid on behalf of the Authors (10 Nov 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (12 Nov 2025) by Matthias Tesche
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (05 Dec 2025) by Matthias Tesche
AR by Younes Bouhafid on behalf of the Authors (12 Dec 2025)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Jan 2026
Simulation of a contrail formation and early life cycle for a realistic airliner geometry
Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 1053–1078, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-1053-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-1053-2026, 2026
Short summary
Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne
Younes Bouhafid and Nicolas Bonne

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Aircraft contrails may warm Earth's climate twice as much as CO₂, but their exact impact is uncertain. We developed a new computer model showing how plane structures create air swirls that make contrails wider and denser than thought. These thicker contrails likely trap more heat. Our findings help improve climate predictions and guide aircraft designs to reduce aviation's warming effects.
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