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Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1458
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1458
14 Apr 2025
 | 14 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Meteorological Landscape of Tropical Cyclone

Pascal Oettli, Keita Tokuda, Yusuke Imoto, and Shunji Kotsuki

Abstract. A tropical cyclone is a meteorological phenomenon that produces heavy rainfall, damaging winds, thunderstorms, storm surges, among others. This is also a system of complex interactions between local sea-surface temperatures vertical atmospheric conditions, such as shear winds, and regional steering flows. A single discipline cannot rise to the challenge posed by the understanding of the mechanisms governing the birth, maturity, and decay of a tropical cyclone. Collaborative work between earth science and other disciplines can address such a challenge, by offering new angles of thinking and new techniques of research to apprehend such a complex phenomenon. In this study, we apply biological concepts such as the Waddington’s epigenetic landscape, and bioinformatics techniques like the graph-Hodge decomposition, to meteorology, to introduce an innovative way to characterize the evolution of three tropical cyclones: "Dolphin," "Nepartak," and "Meari". When applied to an ensemble prediction system, the result is a meteorological landscape depicting the creodes reflecting possible paths and their associated probabilities of realization.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Short summary
A tropical cyclone is a circular air movement that emerges over warm waters of the tropical...
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