Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1186
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1186
28 Mar 2025
 | 28 Mar 2025

A low-cost approach to monitoring streamflow dynamics in small, headwater streams using timelapse imagery and a deep learning model

Phillip Goodling, Jennifer Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin Letcher

Abstract. Despite their ubiquity and importance as freshwater habitat, small headwater streams are under monitored by existing stream gage networks. To address this gap, we describe a low-cost, non-contact, and low-effort method that enables organizations to monitor streamflow dynamics in small headwater streams. The method uses a camera to capture repeat images of the stream from a fixed position. A person then annotates pairs of images, in each case indicating which image has more apparent streamflow or indicating equal flow if no difference is discernible. A deep learning modelling framework called Streamflow Rank Estimation (SRE) is then trained on the annotated image pairs and applied to rank all images from highest to lowest apparent streamflow. From this result a relative hydrograph can be derived. We found that our modelled relative hydrograph dynamics matched the observed hydrograph dynamics well for 11 cameras at 8 streamflow sites in western Massachusetts. Higher performance was observed during the annotation period (median Kendall’s Tau rank correlation 0.75 with range 0.6–0.83) than after it (median Kendall’s Tau 0.59 with range 0.34 – 0.74). We found that annotation performance was generally consistent across the eleven camera sites and two individual annotators and was positively correlated with streamflow variability at a site. A scaling simulation determined that model performance improvements were limited after 1,000 annotation pairs. Our model’s estimates of relative flow, while not equivalent to absolute flow, may still be useful for many applications, such as ecological modelling and calculating event-based hydrological statistics (e.g., the number of out-of-bank floods). We anticipate this method will be a valuable tool to extend existing stream monitoring networks and provide new insights on dynamic headwater systems.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

19 Nov 2025
Technical note: A low-cost approach to monitoring relative streamflow dynamics in small headwater streams using time lapse imagery and a deep learning model
Phillip J. Goodling, Jennifer H. Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey D. Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin H. Letcher
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 6445–6460, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6445-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6445-2025, 2025
Short summary
Phillip Goodling, Jennifer Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin Letcher

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1186', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Apr 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Phillip Goodling, 05 Jun 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1186', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Apr 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Phillip Goodling, 05 Jun 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1186', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Apr 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Phillip Goodling, 05 Jun 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-1186', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Apr 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Phillip Goodling, 05 Jun 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (10 Jun 2025) by Markus Weiler
AR by Phillip Goodling on behalf of the Authors (18 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (01 Aug 2025) by Markus Weiler
AR by Phillip Goodling on behalf of the Authors (01 Aug 2025)

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

19 Nov 2025
Technical note: A low-cost approach to monitoring relative streamflow dynamics in small headwater streams using time lapse imagery and a deep learning model
Phillip J. Goodling, Jennifer H. Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey D. Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin H. Letcher
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 6445–6460, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6445-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-6445-2025, 2025
Short summary
Phillip Goodling, Jennifer Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin Letcher

Data sets

Model Predictions, Observations, and Annotation Data for Deep Learning Models Developed To Estimate Relative Flow at 11 Massachusetts Streamflow Sites P. J. Goodling et al. https://doi.org/10.5066/P14LU6CQ

U.S. Geological Survey EcoDrought Stream Discharge, Gage Height and Water Temperature Data in Massachusetts (ver. 2.0, February 2025) J. B. Fair et al. https://doi.org/10.5066/P9ES4RQS

U.S. Geological Survey Flow Photo Explorer U.S. Geological Survey https://www.usgs.gov/apps/ecosheds/fpe

Model code and software

fpe-model v0.9.0 Jeffrey Walker https://github.com/EcoSHEDS/fpe-model

Phillip Goodling, Jennifer Fair, Amrita Gupta, Jeffrey Walker, Todd Dubreuil, Michael Hayden, and Benjamin Letcher

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Short summary
This paper describes a stream monitoring method using low-cost cameras and a deep learning model. It produces a relative hydrograph (0–100%). We applied the method to 11 cameras at 8 sites and found model performance sufficient to describe floods and droughts. The models were trained on image pairs annotated by people. We examined how well people performed annotations and how many annotations were needed. We concluded this method can be used to gain new insights on under monitored small streams.
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