Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1136
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1136
05 May 2025
 | 05 May 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Predicting oceanic Lagrangian trajectories with hybrid space-time CNN architecture

Lorenzo Della Cioppa and Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli

Abstract. Lagrangian dynamics simulation is a challenging task, as it typically depends on integrating velocity fields, whose estimation is inherently difficult due to both theoretical and technical constraints. Neural Network approaches provide practical methods to overcome most of related complications by learning directly from data. In this paper a deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for Lagrangian trajectories simulation is presented. The proposed architecture is inspired by existing Computer Vision methods, combining Long-Short Term Memory and U-Net architectures to enforce causality. Several training setups are considered, including conditional Generative Adversarial Network (cGAN) training. The results are evaluated using Lagrangian metrics.

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Lorenzo Della Cioppa and Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli

Status: open (until 30 Jun 2025)

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Lorenzo Della Cioppa and Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli
Lorenzo Della Cioppa and Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli

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Short summary
Forecasting of particles trajectories transported by ocean currents is of great importance for research and operational tasks. Even with satellite observations data or numerical simulations, the problem challenging. In this paper a neural network approach is proposed which is capable of learning from observed trajectories and corresponding data observed from satellites to generate predictions. The network is trained and validated on synthetic data, but it is easily applicable in the real-world.
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