Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1098
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1098
07 Apr 2025
 | 07 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Large Ozone Intrusions during Sudden Stratospheric Warmings Enhance Ozone Radiative Forcing over South Asia

Shubhajyoti Roy, Satheesh P. R. Chandran, Suvarna Fadnavis, Vijay Sagar, Michaela I. Hegglin, and Rolf Müller

Abstract. Tropospheric ozone pollution in South Asia is mainly blamed on anthropogenic emissions. However, this study highlights the contribution of stratospheric ozone intrusions into the troposphere associated with sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events in enhancing tropospheric ozone over the South Asian region using ERA-5 reanalysis data. We report that specifically split-downward propagating SSWs (dSSWs) cause enormous ozone enhancement in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) over South Asia around the dSSW-onset, with a maximum of ~290 % within ±30 days. The ozone intrusions propagate deep into the troposphere, causing near-surface maximum ozone increase by 43 % within ±30 days around the SSW-onset. The ozone enhancement increases ozone radiative forcing in the troposphere by 0.04±0.03 W.m-2 and UTLS by 0.08±0.06 W.m-2 over South Asia. Frequent SSW events in a warming climate will thus likely increase stratospheric ozone intrusions and ozone radiative forcing over South Asia, potentially exacerbating regional climate warming. The elevated tropospheric ozone amounts due to stratospheric intrusions are posing threat to humans and vegetation.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Shubhajyoti Roy, Satheesh P. R. Chandran, Suvarna Fadnavis, Vijay Sagar, Michaela I. Hegglin, and Rolf Müller

Status: open (until 22 May 2025)

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Shubhajyoti Roy, Satheesh P. R. Chandran, Suvarna Fadnavis, Vijay Sagar, Michaela I. Hegglin, and Rolf Müller
Shubhajyoti Roy, Satheesh P. R. Chandran, Suvarna Fadnavis, Vijay Sagar, Michaela I. Hegglin, and Rolf Müller

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Short summary
We show stratospheric ozone intrusions associated with sudden stratospheric warming events enhance ozone in the lower troposphere over the South Asia. The ozone enhancement increases ozone radiative forcing by 0.04±0.03 W.m-2 over South Asia. This increase in ozone radiative forcing potentially exacerbates regional climate warming.
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