Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1071
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1071
01 Apr 2025
 | 01 Apr 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Measurement Techniques (AMT).

Assessing the Detection Potential of Targeting Satellites for Global Greenhouse Gas Monitoring: Insights from TANGO Simulations

Harikrishnan Charuvil Asokan, Jochen Landgraf, Pepijn Veefkind, Stijn Dellaert, and André Butz

Abstract. Targeting satellite observations offer a promising avenue for detecting and quantifying anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from localized point sources at high spatial resolution. In this study, we assess the detection potential of the Twin ANthropogenic Greenhouse gas Observers (TANGO) satellite mission, scheduled for 2027, using orbit simulations and the TNO Global Point Source (GPS) inventory. We examine its target selection approach across three observational scenarios—Clear-Sky, Cloud-Filtered, and Cloud-Forecast—by applying two prioritization schemes (one favoring CH4 point sources over CO2 and the other vice versa). Results show that, under current detection limits (TDL), TANGO can detect a good fraction of large point sources, identifying ~500 targets per repeat cycle, depending on the prioritization scheme employed. However, cloud cover significantly reduces observational yield (~64–68 % fewer detections). Integrating a cloud-forecast-informed target selection improves the total number of detected targets by 34.6 % under CO2 prioritization and 22.1 % under CH4 prioritization compared to the cloud-filtered scenario, demonstrating the benefits of adaptive observation strategies. We also explore a hypothetical Enhanced Detection Limit (EDL) scenario, representing the potential for future satellites with improved sensitivity. While EDL extends the range of observable sources, many of these smaller emitters are associated with greater uncertainties, highlighting the importance of well-characterized retrieval precision. Finally, we discuss the potential benefits of a satellite constellation, which could enhance revisit times and observational frequency for sources of key interest. Our results demonstrate TANGO as a case study for the capabilities and challenges of next-generation targeting satellite missions, highlighting the importance of high-resolution GHG monitoring and cloud-aware adaptation for improving global emission quantification.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Measurement Techniques.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Short summary
Greenhouse gases like CO2 and CH4 drive climate change. Satellites enable monitoring of these...
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