the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Failed cyclogenesis of a mesoscale convective system near Cape Verde: The role of the Saharan trade wind layer among other inhibiting factors observed during the CADDIWA field campaign
Abstract. The role of the Saharan air layer in Cape Verde cyclogenesis remains uncertain. Here, we investigate the inhibiting factors leading to the failed cyclogenesis of the mesoscale convective system (MCS) Pierre Henri (PH) observed during two flights of the CADDIWA campaign. We use CADDIWA data and a convection-permitting simulation run with the Meso-NH model. We show that the African easterly wave in which PH is embedded forms a marsupial pouch that keeps the SAL away from PH. On the contrary, a dusty, dry and warm air layer between 0.8 and 2 km altitude, called Saharan trade wind layer (STWL), penetrates into PH convective core, increasing the convective inhibition (CIN) area, and contributing up to 40 % of the CIN area during the MCS mature phase. The cold pools produced by convection also increase the CIN area, and contribute up to 50 % of this area after the MCS intense phase. Upper tropospheric (UT) dry air, with relative humidity below 15 % between 7 and 11 km altitude, gradually penetrates into the 150 km circle around PH, reaching 18 % of the area during its dissipation phase, preventing the MCS anvil expansion. The inhibiting roles of the STWL, cold pools, and UT dry air in leading the cyclogenesis to fail provide new insights into the complex dynamics of cyclogenesis in the Cape Verde region and challenge the existing model of the SAL.
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Status: open (until 14 Mar 2025)
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-105', Anonymous Referee #1, 12 Feb 2025
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This study investigates the inhibiting factors that led to the failed cyclogenesis of the mesoscale convective system (MCS) Pierre Henri (PH), observed during the CADDIWA field campaign. Using high-resolution airborne observations and a convection-permitting Meso-NH model, the authors analyze the interactions between the Saharan Air Layer (SAL), the Saharan Trade Wind Layer (STWL), cold pools, and upper tropospheric (UT) dry air. The study finds that: 1) the STWL, a relatively underexplored feature, played a significant role in increasing convective inhibition (CIN), contributing up to 40% of CIN during the mature phase of PH; 2) cold pools generated by convection further suppressed cyclone development, with their CIN contribution peaking at 50% post-intense phase; and 3) UT dry air limited the MCS's anvil expansion, with relative humidity below 15% between 7 and 11 km altitude, covering 18% of the MCS environment during dissipation. The findings are well-supported by observational data and validated against numerical simulations. I only have two minor comments for the authors to consider.
The study focuses on the failed cyclogenesis of one MCS (PH), but it is unclear how representative these findings are for other storms in the Cape Verde region. It would be interesting to more comprehensively compare the findings in this study with past ones on failed and/or successful Cape Verde cyclogenesis cases to improve the broader implications.
While the study effectively shows that STWL increased CIN, the mechanism of STWL intrusion into the MCS and its modification of convective processes needs clearer explanation. I suggest further elaborating on how weak low-level circulation allows STWL intrusion based on the current analysis.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-105-RC1
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