the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Technical Note: Streamflow Seasonality using Directional Statistics
Abstract. Hydrological fluxes typically vary across seasons, with several existing metrics available to characterize their seasonality. These metrics are beneficial when many catchments across diverse climates and landscapes are studied concurrently. Here, we present directional statistics to characterize streamflow seasonality, capturing the timing of streamflow (center of mass) and the strength of its seasonal cycle (concentration). We show that directional statistics is mathematically more robust than several widely used metrics to quantify streamflow seasonality. We extend the application of directional statistics to analyse seasonality in other hydrological fluxes, including precipitation, evapotranspiration, and snowmelt, and we introduce a trend analysis framework for both the timing and strength of seasonal cycles. Using an Alpine catchment (Dischma, Switzerland) as a testbed for this methodology, we identify a shift in the streamflow center of mass to earlier in the year and a weakening of the seasonal cycle. Additionally, we apply directional statistics to streamflow data from 11,118 European catchments, highlighting its utility for large-scale hydrological analyses. The introduced metrics, leveraging directional statistics, can improve our understanding of streamflow seasonality and associated changes, and can also be used to study the seasonality of other environmental fluxes, within and beyond hydrology.
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Status: open (until 10 Mar 2025)
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CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4117', Gabriele Villarini, 27 Jan 2025
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I have given a quick look at the manuscript, and believe that authors may have missed several relevant papers that already get to some of the core of their arguments and actually move them forward:
- Barth, Nancy A., et al. "Changes in streamflow seasonality associated with hydroclimatic variability in the north-central United States among three discrete temporal periods, 1946–2020." Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 57 (2025): 102084.
- Dhakal, Nirajan, et al. "Nonstationarity in seasonality of extreme precipitation: A nonparametric circular statistical approach and its application." Water Resources Research 51.6 (2015): 4499-4515.
- Treppiedi, D., G. Villarini, J. Bender, and L.V. Noto, Precipitation extremes projected to increase and to occur in different times of the year, Environmental Research Letters, 20(1), 014014, 2025.
- Veatch, W., and G. Villarini, Modeling riverine flood seasonality with mixtures of circular probability density functions, Journal of Hydrology, 613, 1-11, 2022.
- Villarini, G., On the seasonality of flooding across the continental United States, Advances in Water Resources, 87, 80-91, 2016.
This is not an exhaustive list and I hope these suggestions will help the authors to better contextualize their results with respect to the broader literature.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4117-CC1 -
AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Wouter Berghuijs, 27 Jan 2025
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We appreciate the reminder that many studies use circular/directional statistics to characterize the seasonality of extremes, as evidenced by the suggested references. In our manuscript, we acknowledge this development by stating:
“Directional statistics have been widely used to characterize the seasonality of extreme flows (e.g., Burn et al., 1997; Young et al., 2000; Merz & Blöschl, 2003; Laaha and Blöschl, 2006; Blöschl et al., 2017; Berghuijs et al., 2016, 2019; Floriancic et al., 2021; Chagas et al., 2022).”
We will incorporate some of the suggested references, although an exhaustive list of all studies that could be cited here would be far more extensive than what is provided by us and these suggestions.
Importantly, our manuscript develops and applies directional statistics to characterize (continous) seasonal flow regimes, rather than focusing on the seasonality of annual extremes or peaks-over-threshold events. Our approach thereby unifies the concepts of seasonal flow regimes, center of mass, and directional statistics—which is not covered by the referenced studies. These developments are probably not complicated to someone familiar with directional statistics for characterizing extreme events, but have not been shown in the (suggested) literature, and do have many potential applications (also beyond hydrology).
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4117-AC1 -
CC2: 'Reply on AC1', Gabriele Villarini, 28 Jan 2025
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Thank you for the quick reply. I appreciate the clarification and found this technical note interesting and well-suited for this venue.
Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4117-CC2
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CC2: 'Reply on AC1', Gabriele Villarini, 28 Jan 2025
reply
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AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Wouter Berghuijs, 27 Jan 2025
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