Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4107
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4107
16 Jan 2025
 | 16 Jan 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).

Southern Hemisphere tree-rings as proxies to reconstruct Southern Ocean upwelling

Christian Blair Lewis, Rachel Corran, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher, Erik Behrens, Rowena Moss, Gordon Brailsford, Andrew Lorrey, Margaret Norris, and Jocelyn Turnbull

Abstract. The Southern Ocean plays a key role in regulating global climate and acting as a carbon sink. This region, defined as south of 35° S, is accountable for 40 % of all oceanic anthropogenic CO2 uptake, and 75 % of ocean heat uptake between 1861 and 2005. However, the strength of the Southern Ocean sink (air-sea CO2 flux) is variable – weakening in the 1990s and strengthening again in the 2000s. Typical methods of constraining the flux must grapple with two opposing forces: outgassing of natural CO2 and uptake of anthropogenic CO2. Reconstructions of atmospheric radiocarbon (Δ14CO2) from Southern Hemisphere tree-rings may be a viable method of observing the one-way outgassing flux of natural CO2, driven by Southern Ocean upwelling. Here we present more than 400 tree-ring ∆14C measurements from 13 sites in Chile and New Zealand from the 1980s to the present. These measurements dramatically expand the dataset of Southern Hemisphere atmospheric Δ14CO2 records. We use these records to analyse latitudinal gradients in reconstructed atmospheric Δ14CO2 across the Southern Ocean. Tree-rings from New Zealand’s Campbell Island (52.5S, 169.1E) show Δ14CO2 was on average 3.3±3.5 ‰ lower than atmospheric background, driving a latitudinal gradient among New Zealand sites between 41.1° S and 52.5° S, whereas samples from similar latitudes in Chile do not exhibit such a strong gradient. We demonstrate that the gradient is driven by the combination of CO2 outgassing from the Antarctic Southern Zone (ASZ) and atmospheric transport to the sampling sites.

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Christian Blair Lewis, Rachel Corran, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher, Erik Behrens, Rowena Moss, Gordon Brailsford, Andrew Lorrey, Margaret Norris, and Jocelyn Turnbull

Status: open (until 27 Feb 2025)

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Christian Blair Lewis, Rachel Corran, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher, Erik Behrens, Rowena Moss, Gordon Brailsford, Andrew Lorrey, Margaret Norris, and Jocelyn Turnbull

Model code and software

Code used in this manuscript Christian Lewis https://github.com/christianlewis091/science_projects/tree/main/soar_tree_rings/scripts_EGU_submission

Christian Blair Lewis, Rachel Corran, Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher, Erik Behrens, Rowena Moss, Gordon Brailsford, Andrew Lorrey, Margaret Norris, and Jocelyn Turnbull

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Short summary
The Southern Ocean carbon sink is a balance between two opposing forces: CO2 absorption at mid-latitudes and CO2 outgassing at high-latitudes. Radiocarbon analysis can be used to constrain the latter, as upwelling waters outgas old CO2, diluting atmospheric radiocarbon content. We present tree-ring radiocarbon measurements from New Zealand and Chile. We show that low radiocarbon in New Zealand’s Campbell Island is linked to outgassing in the critical Antarctic Southern Zone.