Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4091
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4091
05 Mar 2025
 | 05 Mar 2025

Global Sensitivity of Tropospheric Ozone to Precursor Emissions in Clean and Present-Day Atmospheres: Insights from AerChemMIP Simulations

Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao

Abstract. Ozone (O3) is a Short-lived Climate Forcer (SLCF) that contributes to radiative forcing, influences secondary aerosol formation, and indirectly affects the atmospheric lifetime of methane, a major greenhouse gas. This study investigates the sensitivity of global O3 to precursor gases in a clean atmosphere, where hydroxyl (OH) radical characteristics are approximately uniform globally, using data from the PiClim experiments of the Aerosols and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP) within the CMIP6 framework. We also evaluate the O3 simulation capabilities of four Earth system models (CESM2-WACCM, GFDL-ESM4, GISS-E2-1-G, and UKESM1-0-LL). Our analysis reveals that the CESM and GFDL models effectively capture seasonal O3 cycles and consistently simulate vertical O3 distribution. In contrast, the GISS and UKESM models effectively replicate the positive correlation between tropospheric O3 and temperature but exhibit lower sensitivity to natural precursor sources than anthropogenic ones. While all models successfully simulate O3 responses to anthropogenic precursor emissions, CESM and GFDL do not capture tropospheric O3 forcing from natural NOx emissions (e.g., from lightning). The sensitivities of O3 to its natural precursors (NOx and VOCs) in GISS and UKESM models are also very low. These findings refine our understanding of O3 sensitivity to natural precursors in clean atmospheres and provide insights for improving O3 predictions in Earth system models.

Competing interests: The contact author has declared that neither of the authors has any competing interests.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

04 Nov 2025
Global sensitivity of tropospheric ozone to precursor emissions in clean and present-day atmospheres: insights from AerChemMIP simulations
Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 14535–14550, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14535-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14535-2025, 2025
Short summary
Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4091. A lot of improvements needed', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4091', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Mar 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4091. A lot of improvements needed', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-4091', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Mar 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Wei Wang on behalf of the Authors (14 Jul 2025)  Author's response 
EF by Katja Gänger (16 Jul 2025)  Manuscript   Author's tracked changes 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (05 Aug 2025) by Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (19 Aug 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (21 Aug 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (02 Sep 2025) by Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero
AR by Wei Wang on behalf of the Authors (17 Sep 2025)  Author's response 
EF by Mario Ebel (17 Sep 2025)  Manuscript   Author's tracked changes 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Sep 2025) by Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (23 Sep 2025)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (30 Sep 2025) by Pedro Jimenez-Guerrero
AR by Wei Wang on behalf of the Authors (07 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

04 Nov 2025
Global sensitivity of tropospheric ozone to precursor emissions in clean and present-day atmospheres: insights from AerChemMIP simulations
Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 25, 14535–14550, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14535-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-25-14535-2025, 2025
Short summary
Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao

Data sets

Data from the PiClim experiments of the Aerosols and Chemistry Model Intercomparison Project (AerChemMIP) within the CMIP6 framework Vaishali Naik et al. https://esgf-ui.ceda.ac.uk/cog/search/cmip6-ceda/

Wei Wang and Chloe Yuchao Gao

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Short summary
We note that the CESM and GFDL models would not simulate the tropospheric O3 forcing due to precursor gases from natural sources. Furthermore, the ozone simulated by them are also obviously less sensitive to natural precursors than to anthropogenic sources. This research suggests that existing theories about the sensitivity of O3 to natural precursors might not be accurate in clean atmosphere.
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