Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3672
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3672
06 Mar 2025
 | 06 Mar 2025
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Satellites reveal a 28 % drop in Ukraine’s Nitrogen oxides emissions during the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022

Yu Mao, Weimin Ju, Hengmao Wang, Liangyun Liu, Haikun Wang, Shuzhuang Feng, Mengwei Jia, and Fei Jiang

Abstract. The outbreak of the Russia–Ukraine war in 2022 brought a huge impact on the Ukrainian economic production. To quantify this effect, we invert the anthropogenic Nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions in Ukraine from 2019 to 2022, a key indicator of human activities, to reflect the disruption of activities in different economic sectors due to war. We found a 28 % decline in NOx emissions during the war, if compared with the base year, which significantly exceeded the decrease caused by the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. Eastern Ukraine experienced a 34 % decrease in NOx emissions, whereas the other regions experienced a decrease of 24 %. The destruction of infrastructure and energy shortages severely impact the sustainable development of such social activities as industry, housing and transportation in Ukraine. These findings highlight the severe disruption of socio-economic activities due to the war, offering crucial insights into the broader implications of war on environmental and economic stability.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Yu Mao, Weimin Ju, Hengmao Wang, Liangyun Liu, Haikun Wang, Shuzhuang Feng, Mengwei Jia, and Fei Jiang

Status: open (until 17 Apr 2025)

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Yu Mao, Weimin Ju, Hengmao Wang, Liangyun Liu, Haikun Wang, Shuzhuang Feng, Mengwei Jia, and Fei Jiang

Data sets

European anthropogenic NOx emission inversion based on TROPOMI satellite observations and GEOS-Chem modeling from 2019 to 2022 Yu Mao https://zenodo.org/records/12540012

Yu Mao, Weimin Ju, Hengmao Wang, Liangyun Liu, Haikun Wang, Shuzhuang Feng, Mengwei Jia, and Fei Jiang

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Short summary
The Russia-Ukraine war in 2022 severely disrupted Ukraine’s economy, with significant reductions in industrial, transportation, and residential activities. Our research used satellite data to track changes in nitrogen oxide emissions, a key indicator of human activity, during the war. We found a 28 % decline in emissions, which was twice of the decrease caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This study highlights how modern warfare can deeply impact both the environment and economic stability.
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