Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3270
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3270
22 Oct 2024
 | 22 Oct 2024

QBOi El Nino Southern Oscillation experiments Part I: Overview of experiment design and ENSO modulation of the QBO

Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmerio, Mijeong Park, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshioda

Abstract. Stratosphere-troposphere Processes And their Role in Climate (SPARC) Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi) project has conducted new experiments to explore the modulation of the QBO by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This paper provides an overview of the experiment design and investigates the modulation of the QBO by ENSO using nine climate models from the QBOi. A key finding is a consistent lengthening of the QBO period during La Niña compared to El Niño across all models, aligning with observational evidence. However, the magnitude of this lengthening shows large intermodel differences. By contrast, even the sign of the ENSO effect on QBO amplitude varies among models -models employing variable parameterized gravity wave sources generally exhibit greater sensitivity of the QBO amplitude to the presence of ENSO than those models using fixed sources. The models capture key observed ENSO-related characteristics, including a weaker Walker circulation and increased equatorial precipitation during El Niño compared to La Niña, as well as a characteristic response in zonal mean zonal wind and temperature. These modulations influence the propagation and filtering of gravity waves. Notably, models with variable parameterized gravity wave sources show stronger wave forcing during El Niño, potentially explaining the shorter QBO period modulation in these models. Further investigation into the complex interplay between ENSO, gravity waves, and the QBO can contribute to improved model formulations.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

06 Oct 2025
QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: overview of the experimental design and ENSO modulation of the QBO
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, Masakazu Taguchi, Federico Serva, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmeiro, Mijeong Park, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshida
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1045–1073, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025, 2025
Short summary
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmerio, Mijeong Park, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshioda

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270 - on the forcing of QBO', Paul Pukite, 29 Oct 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • EC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', David Battisti, 06 Jan 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply to the Editor', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • AC3: 'Reply to the Editor', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270 - on the forcing of QBO', Paul Pukite, 29 Oct 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', Anonymous Referee #2, 30 Dec 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • EC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3270', David Battisti, 06 Jan 2025
    • AC3: 'Reply to the Editor', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • AC2: 'Reply to Reviewers 1 and 2', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025
  • AC3: 'Reply to the Editor', Yoshio Kawatani, 17 Mar 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Yoshio Kawatani on behalf of the Authors (10 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (03 Jul 2025) by David Battisti
AR by Yoshio Kawatani on behalf of the Authors (11 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (18 Jul 2025) by David Battisti
AR by Yoshio Kawatani on behalf of the Authors (23 Jul 2025)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

06 Oct 2025
QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: overview of the experimental design and ENSO modulation of the QBO
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, Masakazu Taguchi, Federico Serva, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmeiro, Mijeong Park, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshida
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1045–1073, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025, 2025
Short summary
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmerio, Mijeong Park, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshioda
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmerio, Mijeong Park, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshioda

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Short summary
The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) of the tropical stratospheric mean winds has been relatively steady over the 7 decades it has been observed, but there are always cycle-to-cycle variations. This study used several global atmospheric models to investigate systematic modulation of the QBO by the El Niño/La Niña cycle. All models simulated shorter periods during El Niño, in agreement with observations. By contrast, the models disagreed even on the sign of the El Niño effect on QBO amplitude.
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