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Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3166
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3166
14 Nov 2024
 | 14 Nov 2024

The dynamics of spatio-temporal droughts in northeast brazil 

Joao Dehon Pontes Filho, Francisco Assis de Souza Filho, Ticiana Marinho de Carvalho Studart, Ályson Brayner Souza Estácio, and Eduardo Sávio Passos Rodrigues Martins

Abstract. This study presents a new framework for simplifying the spatio-temporal dynamics of droughts. The framework balances the complexity of drought analysis with the need for clear, actionable information. Using growth curves, growth rates, and acceleration of drought characteristics, the study provides a novel method to monitor drought severity, affected areas, and progression paths. By examining patterns and relationships between these characteristics, the framework identifies critical regions for targeted drought monitoring. The findings highlight that droughts originating in certain areas of Northeast Brazil pose greater risks, requiring closer attention. This approach offers decision-makers a more effective tool to predict and mitigate drought impacts, improving drought management strategies.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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This study introduces a new way to analyze droughts over time and space, making it easier to...
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