Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3140
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-3140
30 Oct 2024
 | 30 Oct 2024
Status: this preprint is open for discussion.

Brief Communication: annual large-scale atmospheric circulation reconstructed from a data assimilation framework cannot explain local East Antarctic ice rises’ surface mass balance records

Marie Genevieve Paule Cavitte, Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, and Nicolas Ghilain

Abstract. Ice cores are influenced by local processes that alter surface mass balance (SMB) records. To evaluate if large-scale atmospheric circulation explains contrasted SMB trends at eight East Antarctic ice rises, we assimilated ice core SMB records within a high-resolution downscaled atmospheric model, while incorporating radar-derived SMB constraints to quantify local observation errors. The reconstruction captures the diverse variability from SMB records but may over-fit by introducing unrealistic wind spatial heterogeneity. While local errors are quantified, they might not cover all uncertainties. Moreover, small-scale wind circulation, unresolved in the reconstruction, could significantly affect local ice core SMB signals.

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Marie Genevieve Paule Cavitte, Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, and Nicolas Ghilain

Status: open (until 11 Dec 2024)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Marie Genevieve Paule Cavitte, Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, and Nicolas Ghilain

Data sets

Gridded surface mass balance derived from shallow radar stratigraphy over eight ice rises along the Dronning Maud Land coast and one site in the Dome Fuji region, Antarctica Marie Cavitte https://doi.org/10.14428/DVN/J34MQO

MASS2ANT Snowfall Dataset (Downscaling @5.5km over Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica, 1850-2014) Nicolas Ghilain, Stephane Vannitsem, Quentin Dalaiden, Hugues Goosse, and Lelsey De Cruz https://zenodo.org/records/4287517

Marie Genevieve Paule Cavitte, Hugues Goosse, Quentin Dalaiden, and Nicolas Ghilain

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Short summary
Ice cores in East Antarctica show contrasting records of past snowfall. We tested if large-scale weather patterns could explain this by combining ice core data with an atmospheric model and radar-derived errors. However, the reconstruction produced unrealistic wind patterns to fit the ice core records. We suggest that uncertainties are not fully captured and that small-scale local wind effects, not represented in the model, could significantly influence snowfall records in the ice cores.