Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2860
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2860
11 Jan 2024
 | 11 Jan 2024

Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis of Batukaras Village as a Tourism Village in Indonesia

Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia

Abstract. Indonesia's location in the middle of tectonic plates makes it vulnerable to earthquakes and tsunamis, especially in the megathrust zone around Sumatra Island and the southern part of Java Island. Research shows a seismic gap in southern Java, which poses a potential threat of megathrust earthquakes and tsunamis, impacting coastal areas such as Batukaras Village in West Java, a popular tourist destination. To prepare for disasters, Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA), which focuses on seismic factors, was carried out by modeling tsunamis on 3,348 sub-segments of 4 large megathrust segments in the south of Java Island. Stochastic earthquake modeling to simulate the occurrence of a tsunami from an earthquake with 6.5 Mw to the highest potential magnitude on each segment. This research shows that PTHA in Batukaras Village reveals varying heights of 0.84 m, 1.63 m, 2.97 m, and 5.7 m for each earthquake return period of 250 years, 500 years, 1000 years, and 2500 years. The dominant threat arises from the West Java-Central Java megathrust segment, emphasizing the importance of preparedness, although the annual probability of tsunamis is generally low. Our study will deepen knowledge of tsunami hazards associated with megathrust activities near Batukaras Village for mitigation planning and decision-making, and it can become a reference for similar coastal tourist areas.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

11 Mar 2025
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of Batukaras, a tourism village in Indonesia
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1057–1069, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025, 2025
Short summary
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2860', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Mar 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Wiwin Windupranata, 06 May 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2860', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Mar 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Wiwin Windupranata, 06 May 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Wiwin Windupranata, 11 Jun 2024

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2860', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Mar 2024
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Wiwin Windupranata, 06 May 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2860', Anonymous Referee #2, 25 Mar 2024
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Wiwin Windupranata, 06 May 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Wiwin Windupranata, 11 Jun 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (15 May 2024) by Marvin Ravan
AR by Wiwin Windupranata on behalf of the Authors (11 Jun 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes 
EF by Lorena Grabowski (18 Jun 2024)  Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Jul 2024) by Marvin Ravan
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (25 Jul 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (30 Aug 2024)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (04 Sep 2024) by Marvin Ravan
AR by Wiwin Windupranata on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (31 Oct 2024) by Marvin Ravan
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (16 Nov 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (21 Nov 2024)
ED: Publish as is (06 Dec 2024) by Marvin Ravan
ED: Publish as is (17 Dec 2024) by Uwe Ulbrich (Executive editor)
AR by Wiwin Windupranata on behalf of the Authors (28 Dec 2024)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

11 Mar 2025
Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis of Batukaras, a tourism village in Indonesia
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1057–1069, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-1057-2025, 2025
Short summary
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia
Wiwin Windupranata, Muhammad Wahyu Al Ghifari, Candida Aulia De Silva Nusantara, Marsyanisa Shafa, Intan Hayatiningsih, Iyan Eka Mulia, and Alqinthara Nuraghnia

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Short summary
Batukaras Village is a village on the southern coast of Java Island which is prone to tsunami hazards. To assess the potential tsunami hazard in the area, PTHA method was employed. It resulted in tsunami heights of 0.84 m, 1.63 m, 2.97 m, and 5.7 m for each earthquake return period of 250 years, 500 years, 1000 years, and 2500 years, respectively. The largest contribution of earthquake sources comes from the West Java-Central Java megathrust segment.
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