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Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2068
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2068
19 Sep 2023
 | 19 Sep 2023

Investigation of historical severe storms and storm tides in the German Bight with century reanalysis data

Elke Magda Inge Meyer and Lidia Gaslikova

Abstract. Century reanalysis models offer a possibility to investigate extreme events and gain further insights into their impact through numerical experiments. In this paper, we investigate whether the atmospheric data from the reanalysis models are suitable for simulating historical severe storm tides in the North Sea and whether higher storm tides could have occurred considering different tidal phases. In general, storm tides could be reproduced, and some individual ensemble members are suitable for the reconstruction of respective storm tides. However, the highest observed water level in the German Bight (southern eastern North Sea) could not be simulated with sufficient accuracy. Storms with northerly tracks show less variability in wind speed and a better agreement with the observed water level for the German Bight. The impact of two severe historical storms that peaked at low tide is investigated with shifted tides, resulting in dangerously high water levels only at Husum in the eastern German Bight.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

14 Feb 2024
Investigation of historical severe storms and storm tides in the German Bight with century reanalysis data
Elke Magda Inge Meyer and Lidia Gaslikova
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 481–499, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-481-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-481-2024, 2024
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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Storm tides for eight extreme historical storms in the German Bight are modelled using sets of...
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