Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1587
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1587
01 Aug 2023
 | 01 Aug 2023

Geometric amplification and suppression of ice-shelf basal melt in West Antarctica

Jan De Rydt and Kaitlin Naughten

Abstract. Glaciers along the Amundsen Sea coastline in West Antarctica are dynamically adjusting to a change in ice-shelf mass balance that has triggered their retreat and speed-up prior to the satellite era. In recent decades, the ice shelves have continued to thin, albeit at a decelerating rate, whilst ice discharge across the grounding lines has been observed to increase by up to 100 % since the early 1990s. Here, the ongoing evolution of ice-shelf mass balance components is assessed in a high-resolution coupled ice-ocean model that includes the Pine Island, Thwaites, Crosson and Dotson ice shelves. For a range of idealized ocean-forcing scenarios, the combined evolution of ice-shelf geometry and basal melt rates is simulated over a 200-year period. For all ice-shelf cavities, a reconfiguration of the 3D ocean circulation in response to changes in cavity geometry is found to cause significant and sustained changes in basal melt rate, ranging from a 75 % decrease up to a 75 % increase near the grounding lines, irrespective of the far-field forcing. These previously unexplored feedbacks between changes in ice-shelf geometry, ocean circulation and basal melting have a demonstrable impact on the net ice-shelf mass balance, including grounding line discharge, at multidecadal timescales. They should be considered in future projections of Antarctic mass loss, alongside changes in ice-shelf melt due to anthropogenic trends in the ocean temperature and salinity.

Jan De Rydt and Kaitlin Naughten

Status: final response (author comments only)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1587', Anonymous Referee #1, 23 Nov 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1587', Anonymous Referee #2, 14 Dec 2023
Jan De Rydt and Kaitlin Naughten
Jan De Rydt and Kaitlin Naughten

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Short summary
The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is losing ice at an accelerating pace. This is largely due to the presence of warm ocean water around the periphery of the Antarctic continent, which melts the ice. It is generally assumed that the strength of this process is controlled by the temperature of the ocean. However, in this study we show that the an equally important role is played by the changing geometry of the ice, which affects the strength of the ocean currents and thereby the melt rates.