Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1121
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1121
08 Nov 2023
 | 08 Nov 2023

Assessing the potential of free tropospheric water vapour isotopologue satellite observations for improving the analyses of latent heating events

Matthias Schneider, Kinya Toride, Farahnaz Khosrawi, Frank Hase, Benjamin Ertl, Christopher Johannes Diekmann, and Kei Yoshimura

Abstract. Satellite-based observations of free tropospheric water vapour isotopologue ratios (δD) with good global and temporal coverage have become recently available. We investigate the potential of these observations for constraining the uncertainties of the atmospheric analyses fields of specific humidity (q), temperature (T), and δD and of variables that capture important properties of the atmospheric water cycle, namely the vertical velocity (ω), the latent heating rate (Q2), and the precipitation rate (Prcp). Our focus is on the impact of the δD observations if used in addition to the observation of q and T , which are much easier to be observed by satellites and routinely in use for atmospheric analyses. For our investigations we use an Observing System Simulation Experiment, i.e. simulate the satellite observations of q, T , and δD with known uncertainties, then use them within a Kalman filter based assimilation framework in order to evaluate their potential for improving the quality of atmospheric analyses. The study is made for low latitudes (30° S to 30° N) and for 40 days between mid-July and end of August 2016. We find that the assimilation of q and T observations alone well constrains the atmospheric q and T fields (analyses skills in the free troposphere of up to 60 %), and moderately constrains the fields of δD, ω, Q2, and Prcp (analyses skills of 20 %–40 %). The additional assimilation of δD observations further improves the quality of the analyses of all variables. We use Q2 as proxy for the presence of condensation and evaporation processes, and we show that the additional improvement is rather weak when evaporation or condensation are negligible (additional analyses skills of generally below 5 %), and strongest for high condensation rates (additional skills of about 15 % and above). The very high condensation rates (identified by large positive Q2 values) are rare, but related to extreme events (very high ω and Prcp) that are not well captured in the analyses (for these extreme events also the analyses uncertainties of ω, Q2, and Prcp are very large), i.e. the additional assimilation of δD observations significantly improves the analyses of the water cycle related variables for the events when an improvement is most important. In real world satellite datasets δD observations affected by such strong latent heating events are frequently available, suggesting that the here demonstrated additional δD impact for the simulated world is also a realistic scenario for a real world data assimilation.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
Matthias Schneider, Kinya Toride, Farahnaz Khosrawi, Frank Hase, Benjamin Ertl, Christopher Johannes Diekmann, and Kei Yoshimura

Status: final response (author comments only)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1121', Anonymous Referee #1, 29 Nov 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Matthias Schneider, 15 Apr 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1121', Anonymous Referee #2, 11 Dec 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Matthias Schneider, 15 Apr 2024
Matthias Schneider, Kinya Toride, Farahnaz Khosrawi, Frank Hase, Benjamin Ertl, Christopher Johannes Diekmann, and Kei Yoshimura

Data sets

MUSICA IASI water isotopologue OSSE assimilation experiments (used in AMT study) Matthias Schneider, Kinya Toride, and Kei Yoshimura https://radar.kit.edu/radar/en/dataset/DcBNGzfWSFxvkCks?token=HNcZIPnVWFewVDyqQerQ

MUSICA IASI water isotopologue pair product (a posteriori processing version 2) Christopher J. Diekmann, Matthias Schneider, and Benjamin Ertl https://doi.org/10.35097/415

Matthias Schneider, Kinya Toride, Farahnaz Khosrawi, Frank Hase, Benjamin Ertl, Christopher Johannes Diekmann, and Kei Yoshimura

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Short summary
Despite its importance for extreme weather and climate feedbacks, atmospheric diabatic heating rates are not well constrained. This study assesses the potential of novel tropospheric water vapour isotopologue satellite observations for improving the analyses of latent heating rates. We find, that the impact of the isotopologues is small for events with weak latent heating rates, but significant for strong latent heating events, which have the strongest societal impacts (storms, flooding).